Adapting a Dynamic Reliability Model to Measurements using Bayesian Inference

  • Günter Becker
  • Leonidas Camarinopoulos
  • Dimitris Kabranis
Conference paper


The problem of the assessment of the Structural Reliability of deteriorating underground water pipelines has been modelled as Dynamic Reliability problem. A measurement device can provide information for the leaking state of the pipes. Bayesian techniques have been incorporated in order to assess the posterior distribution of the leaking state of the pipe given the measurement results, as well as to update the reliability estimation using the obtained posterior distribution of the leaking state of the pipe.


Posterior Distribution Bayesian Network Failure Probability Inference Model Structural Reliability 
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Copyright information

© Springer-Verlag London 2004

Authors and Affiliations

  • Günter Becker
    • 1
  • Leonidas Camarinopoulos
    • 2
  • Dimitris Kabranis
    • 2
  1. 1.RISA Sicherheitsandalysen GmbHBerlinGermany
  2. 2.Department of Industrial ManagementUniversity of PiraeusAthensGreece

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