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CARMA: Food Safety and Expert Judgement

  • H. J. van der Fels-Klerx
  • A. H. Havelaar
  • M. J. Nauta
  • L. H. J. Goossens
  • R. M. Cooke
Conference paper

Abstract

In The Netherlands, Campylobacter infections are estimated to cause yearly many health problems, deaths and considerable economic losses. Effective prevention of human campylobacteriosis requires a well-balanced set of control measures in the chicken meat production chain. To that aim the CARMA project is carried out in The Netherlands. Aspart of the project, RIVM and TU Delft executed an expert study to obtain estimates on input parameters of the risk assessment model for broiler chicken processing. The expert study focused on the transmission of Campylobacter in industrial chicken processing plants. Twelve experts have provided quantile assessments of the query variables. The aggregated expert data will be used to achieve uncertainty distributions of the model variables. With the results a generic picture will be present which will be used to assess possible risk abatement measures to prevent or reduce Campylobacter contamination in chicken processing lines as much as possible. The goal of this paper is to discuss the results of the expert judgement study.

Keywords

Decision Maker Broiler Chicken Risk Assessment Model Seed Variable Considerable Economic Loss 
These keywords were added by machine and not by the authors. This process is experimental and the keywords may be updated as the learning algorithm improves.

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References

  1. 1.
    Havelaar AH, de Wit MA, van Koningsveld R & van Kempen E. Health bfurden in The Netherlands due to infection with thermophilic Campylobacter spp. Epidemiology and Infection 2000; 125:505–522CrossRefGoogle Scholar
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    Nauta MJ, van der Fels-Klerx HJ & Havelaar AH. A poultry processing model for quantitative microbial risk assessment. Risk Analysis (to be published)Google Scholar
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    Cooke RM. Experts in uncertainty. Oxford University Press New York, 1991Google Scholar
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    Van der Fels-Klerx HJ, Cooke RM, Nauta MJ, Goossens LHJ & Havelaar AH. A structured expert judgment study for a model of Campylobacter contamination during broiler chicken processing. Risk Analysis (to be published)Google Scholar

Copyright information

© Springer-Verlag London 2004

Authors and Affiliations

  • H. J. van der Fels-Klerx
    • 1
  • A. H. Havelaar
    • 1
  • M. J. Nauta
    • 1
  • L. H. J. Goossens
    • 2
  • R. M. Cooke
    • 2
  1. 1.National Institute of Public Health and the Environment (RIVM)BilthovenThe Netherlands
  2. 2.Delft University of TechnologyDelftThe Netherlands

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