Summary
This chapter deals with the behavior of a branching population undergoing saturation effects when it becomes too large. We study in particular the limits of the prediction given in the setting of the deterministic dynamical system related to the stochastic branching process modeling the evolution of the population. We also generalize the usual Markovian branching processes of order one to size-dependent branching processes that may have a longer memory and give conditions leading to an almost sure extinction of the process while the dynamical system is persistent. The notion of reproductive rate is explained and generalized. We give some examples, in particular the amplification process in the polymerase chain reaction (PCR).
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Preview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
References
Athreya, K.B., Ney, P.E.: Branching Processes. Dover Publications, Inc., Mineola, NY (2004), xii+287pp.
Elaydi, S.: An Introduction to Difference Equations. Third edition. Undergraduate Texts in Mathematics. Springer, New York (2005), xxii+539pp.
Haccou, P., Jagers, P., Vatutin, V.A.: Branching Processes Variation, Growth, and Extinction of Populations. Cambridge Studies in Adaptative Dynamics, Cambridge (2005), 316pp.
Högnäs, G.: On the quasi-stationary distribution of a stochastic Ricker model. Stochastic Process Appl., 70, 243–263 (1997).
Holte, J.M.: Extinction probability for a critical general branching process. Stochastic Processes Appl., 2, 303–309 (1974).
Jacob, C.: Population dynamics: modeling by branching processes or by dynamical systems? Technical Report 2005–7, MIA unity, INRA, Jouy-en-Josas, France (2005).
Jacob, C., Peccoud, J.: Estimation of the parameters of a branching process from migrating binomial observations. Adv. Appl. Prob., 30, 948–967 (1998).
Jacob, C., Viet, A.F.: Epidemiological modeling in a branching population. Particular case of a general SIS model with two age classes. Math. Biosci., 182, 93–111 (2003).
Jagers, P., Klebaner, F.: Random variation and concentration effects in PCR. J. Theoret. Biol., 224, 299–304 (2003).
Klebaner, F.C.: Population-size-dependent branching process with linear rate of growth. J. Appl. Probab., 20, 242–250 (1983).
Klebaner, F.C.: On population-size-dependent branching processes. Adv. in Appl. Probab., 16, 30–55 (1984).
Klebaner, F. C., Lazar, J., Zeitouni, O.: On the quasi-stationary distribution for some randomly perturbed transformations of an interval. Ann. Appl. Probab., 8, 300–315 (1998).
Klebaner, F. C., Zeitouni, O.: The exit problem for a class of density-dependent branching systems. Ann. Appl. Probab., 4, 1188–1205 (1994).
Kolmogorov, A.N., Savostyanov, B.A.: The calculation of final probabilities for branching random processes. Doklady Akad. Nauk SSSR (N.S.), 56, 783–786 (1947) 60.0X.
Lalam, N., Jacob, C., Jagers, P.: Modelling the PCR amplification process by a sizedependent branching process and estimation of the efficiency. Adv. in Appl. Probab., 36, 602–615 (2004).
Olofsson, U.: Branching processes: Polymerase Chain Reaction and mutation age estimation. Thesis, Department of Mathematical Statistics, Chalmers University of Technology, Götebord, Sweden (2003).
Peccoud, J., Jacob, C.: Theoretical Uncertainty of Measurements Using Quantitative Polymerase Chain Reaction. Biophysical J., 71, 101–108 (1996).
Schnell, S., Mendoza, C.: Enzymological Considerations for a Theoretical Description of the Quantitative Competitive Polymerase Chain Reaction (QC-PCR). J. Theor. Biol., 184, 433–440 (1997).
Seneta, E.: Functional equations and the Galton-Watson process. Advances in Appl. Probability, 1, 1–42 (1969).
Stenseth, N.C., Falck, W., Bjornstad, O.N., Krebs, C.J.: Population regulation in snowshoe hare and Canadian lynx: Asymmetric food web configurations between hare and lynx. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA, 94, 5147–5152 (1997).
Yaglom, A.M.: Certain limit theorems of the theory of branching random processes. Doklady Akad. Nauk SSSR (N.S.), 56, 795–798 (1947), in Russian.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2008 Birkhäuser Boston
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Jacob, C. (2008). Saturation Effects in Population Dynamics: Use Branching Processes or Dynamical Systems?. In: Deutsch, A., et al. Mathematical Modeling of Biological Systems, Volume II. Modeling and Simulation in Science, Engineering and Technology. Birkhäuser Boston. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-0-8176-4556-4_30
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-0-8176-4556-4_30
Publisher Name: Birkhäuser Boston
Print ISBN: 978-0-8176-4555-7
Online ISBN: 978-0-8176-4556-4
eBook Packages: Mathematics and StatisticsMathematics and Statistics (R0)