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Reliability and Validity in Expert Judgment

  • Fergus Bolger
  • George Wright

Abstract

As the world of human affairs becomes increasingly more complex, our reliance upon expert judgment grows correspondingly. Technological, economic, legal, and political developments—to name but a few—place ever-larger information-processing demands upon us, thereby forcing specialization. A single person can no longer be a master of his or her whole field and, consequently, knowledge becomes distributed among a number of specialist experts.

Keywords

Probability Estimate Subjective Probability Expert Judgment Probability Assessment Brier Score 
These keywords were added by machine and not by the authors. This process is experimental and the keywords may be updated as the learning algorithm improves.

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Copyright information

© Plenum Press, New York 1992

Authors and Affiliations

  • Fergus Bolger
    • 1
  • George Wright
    • 2
  1. 1.Department of PsychologyUniversity College LondonLondonEngland
  2. 2.Strathclyde Graduate Business SchoolGlasgowScotland

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