Quantitative Analysis of East Asian Island Disputes

Part of the The Political Economy of the Asia Pacific book series (PEAP)


A number of statistical studies of international peace and conflict have produced many useful and important findings in recent decades.1 Yet few quantitative attempts have been made thus far to focus on East Asian territorial disputes. As one of the first quantitative efforts to yield generalizable knowledge about East Asian territorial disputes, this chapter presents a novel attempt to unravel why and to what extent a given dispute becomes more or less heated over time. More specifically, I examine what factors affect the dual nature of continuity and mutual restraint in the disputes over Dokdo, the Senkakus, the Paracels, and the Spratlys using large N quantitative analysis. In so doing, I assess the empirical accuracy and generalizability of the territorial bargaining game approach and provide groundwork for the qualitative analyses in the following chapters.


Gross Domestic Product Ordinary Little Square Bilateral Trade Ordinary Little Square Regression Binary Logistic Regression Model 
These keywords were added by machine and not by the authors. This process is experimental and the keywords may be updated as the learning algorithm improves.


  1. Barbieri K (2002) The liberal illusion: Does trade promote peace?. University of Michigan Press, Ann ArborGoogle Scholar
  2. Beck N, Katz JN (2001) Throwing out the baby with the bath water: A comment on Green, Kim, and Yoon. International Organization 55(2):487–495CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  3. Calder KE, Ye M (2004) Regionalism and critical junctures: Explaining the “Organization Gap” in Northeast Asia. The Journal of East Asian Studies 4(2):191–226Google Scholar
  4. Chiozza G, Choi A (2003) Guess who did what: Political leaders and the management of territorial disputes, 1950–1990. Journal of Conflict Resolution 47(3):251–278Google Scholar
  5. Choi S, James P (2003) No professional soldiers, no militarized interstate disputes? A new question for neo-Kantianism. Journal of Conflict Resolution 47(6):796–816CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  6. Cohen B (1998) The geography of money. Cornell University Press, IthacaGoogle Scholar
  7. Dixon WJ (1993) Democracy and the management of international conflict. Journal of Conflict Resolution 37(1):42–68CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  8. Doran CF (1991) Systems in crisis: New imperatives of high politics at century’s end. Cambridge University Press, CambridgeCrossRefGoogle Scholar
  9. Gartzke E, Li Q (2003) War, peace, and the invisible hand: positive political externalities of economic globalization. International Studies Quarterly 47(4):561–586CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  10. Gartzke E, Li Q, Boehmer C (2001) Investing in the peace: Economic interdependence and international conflict. International Organization 55(2):391–438CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  11. Geller DS (1993) Power differentials and war in rival dyads. International Studies Quarterly 37(2):173–194CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  12. Ghosn F, Palmer G, Bremer S (2004) The MID3 data set, 1993–2001: Procedures, coding rules, and description. Conflict Management and Peace Science 21:133–154CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  13. Green DP, Kim SY, Yoon DH (2001) Dirty pool. International Organization 55(2):441–468CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  14. Hensel PR (2001) Contentious issues and world politics: Territorial claims in the Americas, 1816–1992. International Studies Quarterly 45(1):81–109CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  15. Huth PK (1996) Standing your ground: Territorial disputes and international conflict. University of Michigan Press, Ann ArborGoogle Scholar
  16. Huth PK, Allee TL (2002) The democratic peace and territorial conflict in the 20th century. Cambridge University Press, CambridgeGoogle Scholar
  17. Ito T, Krueger AO (eds) (2000) The role of foreign direct investment in East Asian economic development. University of Chicago Press, ChicagoGoogle Scholar
  18. Katada SN (2004) Japan’s counterweight strategy: U.S.–Japan cooperation and competition in international finance. In: Krauss ES, Pempel TJ (eds) Beyond bilateralism: U.S.–Japan relations in the new Asia-Pacific. Stanford University Press, StanfordGoogle Scholar
  19. Keohane RO (1990) International liberalism reconsidered. In: Dunn J (ed) The economic limits to modern politics. Cambridge University Press, CambridgeGoogle Scholar
  20. King G (2001) Proper nouns and methodological propriety: Pooling dyads in international relations data. International Organization 55(2):497–507CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  21. Marshall MG, Jaggers K (2002) Political regime characteristics and transitions, 1800–2002: Dataset users’ manual. Center for International Development and Conflict Management (CIDCM), University of Maryland, College ParkGoogle Scholar
  22. Mearsheimer J (2001) The tragedy of great power politics. W.W. Norton, New YorkGoogle Scholar
  23. Oneal JR, Russett BM (1997) The classical liberals were right: Democracy, interdependence, and conflict, 1950–85. International Studies Quarterly 41(2):267–293CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  24. Oneal JR, Russett BM (1999a) Assessing the liberal peace with alternative specifications: Trade still reduces conflict. Journal of Peace Research 36(4):423–442CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  25. Oneal JR, Russett BM (1999b) The Kantian peace: The pacific benefits of democracy, interdependence, and international organizations, 1885–1992. World Politics 52(1):1–37Google Scholar
  26. Oneal JR, Russett BM (2001) Clear and clean: The fixed effects of the liberal peace. International Organization 55(2):469–485CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  27. Organski AFK, Kugler J (1980) The war ledger. University of Chicago Press, ChicagoGoogle Scholar
  28. Polachek S (1980) Conflict and trade. Journal of Conflict Resolution 24(1):55–78Google Scholar
  29. Rousseau D, Gelpi C, Reiter D, Huth P (1996) Assessing the dyadic nature of the democratic peace. American Political Science Review 90(3):512–544CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  30. Russett B, Oneal J, Davis D (1998) The third leg of the Kantian tripod for peace: International organizations and militarized disputes, 1950–85. International Organization 52(3):441–467CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  31. Senese PD, Vasquez JA (2003) A unified explanation of territorial conflict: Testing the impact of sampling bias, 1919–1992. International Studies Quarterly 47(2):275–298CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  32. Simmons BA (2005) Rules over real estate: Trade, territorial conflict, and international borders as institutions. Journal of Conflict Resolution 49(6):823–848CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  33. Sweeney KJ (2003) The severity of interstate disputes: Are dyadic capability preponderances really more pacific? Journal of Conflict Resolution 47(6):728–750CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  34. Vasquez JA (1993) The war puzzle. Cambridge University Press, CambridgeCrossRefGoogle Scholar

Copyright information

© Springer Science+Business Media, LLC 2010

Personalised recommendations