Skip to main content

Tropical Cyclone Forecaster Integrated with Case-Based Reasoning

  • Conference paper
  • First Online:
Proceedings of the European Computing Conference

Part of the book series: Lecture Notes in Electrical Engineering ((LNEE,volume 28))

  • 580 Accesses

Abstract

One of the major challenges for predicting tropical cyclone intensity is that we lack the understanding of coupling relationships of physical processes governing tropical cyclone intensification. This paper presents a Java-based case-based reasoning model to assist tropical cyclone forecasters to determine the intensity change of the tropical cyclone. Cases are constructed by using the data mining algorithms to uncover the hidden relationships between physical processes and tropical cyclone intensity. We specify the domain data, definitions of features from the data, tool for data exploration, and architecture of case-based reasoning model. Preliminary results are found to be useful to forecasters when faced with some unusual problem and under different weather situations.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 169.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 219.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD 219.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Notes

  1. 1.

    A datamining toolkit developed by Integral Solutions Ltd: http://www.isl.co.hk/

References

  1. Aamodt A, Plaza E (1994) Case-based reasoning: foundational issues, methodological variations, and system approaches. AICom – Artificial Intelligence Communications, IOS Press, 7(1):39–59

    Google Scholar 

  2. Dvorak VF (1975) Tropical cyclone intensity analysis and forecasting from satellite imagery. Mon Wea Rev 103:420–430

    Article  Google Scholar 

  3. Feng L, Dillon T, Liu J (2001) Inter-transactional association rules for prediction and their application to studying meteorological data. Data Knowl Eng, Elsevier, 37:85–115

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  4. Hansen B, Riordan D (1998) Fuzzy case-based prediction of ceiling and visibility. In: Pro. of 1st Conf. on Artificial Intelligence, American Meteorological Society, pp 118–123

    Google Scholar 

  5. Lee RST, Liu JNK (2000) Tropical cyclone identification and tracking system using integrated neural oscillatory elastic graph matching and hybrid RBF network track mining techniques. IEEE Trans NN 11(3):680–689

    MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  6. Li B, Liu J, Dai H (1998) Forecasting from low quality data with applications in weather forecasting. Int J Comp Inform 22(3):351–358

    Google Scholar 

  7. McGregor JL, Walsh KJ, Katzfey JJ (2000) Climate simulations for Tasmania. In: Pro. of 4th Int. Conf. on Southern Hemisphere Meteorological and Oceanography, American Meteorological Society, pp 514–515

    Google Scholar 

  8. Pal Sankar K, Shiu Simon CK (2004) Foundations of soft case-based reasoning. Wiley

    Google Scholar 

  9. San Pedro J, Burstein F (2003) A framework for case-based fuzzy multi-criteria decision support for tropical cyclone forecasting. In: Pro. of 36th Hawaii Int. Conf., System Sciences

    Google Scholar 

  10. Tang J, Yang R, Kafatos M (2005) Data mining for tropical cyclone intensity prediction. In: Pro. of 6th Conf. on Coastal Atmospheric and Oceanic Prediction and Processes, Session 7.5

    Google Scholar 

  11. TC Formation Regions, NOAA, http://www.srh.noaa.gov/jetstream/tropics/ tc_basins.htm

Download references

Acknowledgments

The authors would like to acknowledge the partial support of CRG grant G-U186 of The Hong Kong Polytechnic University.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to James N. K. Liu .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2009 Springer Science+Business Media, LLC

About this paper

Cite this paper

Liu, J.N.K., Shiu, S.C.K., You, J. (2009). Tropical Cyclone Forecaster Integrated with Case-Based Reasoning. In: Mastorakis, N., Mladenov, V., Kontargyri, V. (eds) Proceedings of the European Computing Conference. Lecture Notes in Electrical Engineering, vol 28. Springer, Boston, MA. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-0-387-85437-3_23

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-0-387-85437-3_23

  • Published:

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Boston, MA

  • Print ISBN: 978-0-387-84818-1

  • Online ISBN: 978-0-387-85437-3

  • eBook Packages: EngineeringEngineering (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics