Abstract
The previous chapter reviewed the hazards of cosmic origins that may threaten living species on Earth. Fortunately, none of them has ever affected human beings or been responsible for a major catastrophe in the past 100,000 years. To the contrary, earthly hazards have clearly left their marks in the history of our civilizations, causing deaths measured by several hundred millions. A distinction must be made between hazards caused by living organisms, at the first rank of which are human beings, and those caused by the ‘inert’ world or natural hazards which are due to the physical perturbations affecting the solid Earth, the oceans and the atmosphere. In the first category we find wars, which are a fact of humans only, and diseases, both communicable and non-communicable. In the second, we find the seismic-related hazards (volcanoes, earthquakes and tsunamis) and climate-related hazards (storms, floods/landslides and droughts). Figure 4.1 compares the mortality from all earthly catastrophes that occurred in the 20th century — the century for which statistics are more accurate —and places them in perspective. The greatest challenge for all societies will be to predict and manage the disasters that these hazards may provoke in the future.
Bury the dead and feed the living! Marquis of Pombal
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Preview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
4.8 Notes and references
Mathers, C.D. and Loncar, D., 2006, ‘Projections of global mortality and burden of disease from 2002 to 2030’, PLoS Medicine [online journal], 3 (11), 442 (http://medicine.plosjournals.org/perlserv/?request=get).
Willmoth, J., 1998, ‘The future of human longevity: a demographer perspective’, Science 280, 395–397.
Kirkwood, T.B.L., 2005, ‘Understanding the Odd science of agin’, Cell 120, 437–447.
Balaban, S. et al., 2005, ‘Mitochondria, oxidants and aging’, Cell, 120, 483–495.
Proust, J., 1999, Tout savoir sur la prévention du vieillissement, Favre Ed., Lausanne, p. 217.
Proust, J., 2007, Private communication.
Saint-Pierre, J., 2002, ‘Problèmes de limites en statistique’, Report of the Centre Interuniversitaire de Calcul de Toulouse, 118, Route de Narbonne 31062 Toulouse Cedex 04 (Joseph. Saint-Pierre@cict.fr), p. 26.
Simkin, T. et al., 2001, ‘Volcano fatalities — lessons from the historical record’, Science 291, 255.
Siebert L. and Simkin, T., 2002, Volcanoes of the World: An Illustrated Catalogue of Holocene Volcanoes and their Eruptions. Smithsonian Institution, Global Volcanism Program Digital Information Series, GVP-3.
Rampino, M.R., 2002, ‘Super-eruptions as a threat to civilizations on Earth-like planets’, Icarus 156, 562–569.
Bourdon, B. et al., 2006, ‘Insights in the dynamics of mantle plumes from uranium-series geochemistry’, Nature 444, 713–717.
Wilson, M., 2006, ‘Tectonic plate flexure may explain newly found volcanoes’, Physics Today 59, 21–23.
Church, J.A. et al., 2005, ‘Significant decadal-scale impact of volcanic eruptions on sea level and ocean heat content’, Nature 438, 74–77.
Cazenave, A., 2005, ‘Sea level and volcanoes’, Nature 438, 35–36.
Hill, D.P. et al., 2002, ‘Earthquake-volcano interaction’, Physics Today 55, 41–47.
Benioff, H. et al., 1961, ‘Excitation of the free oscillations of the Earth by earthquakes’, Journal of Geophysical Research, 66, 605–619.
Stevenson, D., 2005, ‘Tsunamis and earthquakes: what physics is interesting?’, Physics Today 58, 10–11.
Pidwirny, M., the University of British Columbia Okanagan. Copyright 1999–2007 Michael Pidwirny.
McCaffrey, R., 2007, ‘The next great earthquake’, Science 315, 1675–1676.
It is said that the 1906 San Francisco event has triggered modern earthquake research. Andrew Lawson from the University of California, Berkeley, mapped the San Andreas Fault and established the ‘elastic rebound model’ explained on page 121 (see Marshall, J., 2006, ‘100 years on, you’d think San Francisco would be ready’, New Scientist, 15 April 2006, 8–11).
A special issue of European Review Vol. 14, May 2006, Edited by Cambridge Univ. Press, has been dedicated to the Lisbon earthquake.
Brunious, C. and Warnera, A., ‘Earthquakes and Society’, http://www. umich.edu/≈gs265/society/earthquakes.htm
Yeats, R.S. et al., 1997, The Geology of Earthquakes, Oxford University Press, VI, p. 568.
Tarbuck, E.J. and Lutgens, F.K., 1996, Earth: An Introduction to Physical Geology, Prentice Hall: New Jersey, XVII (5th Edition), p. 605.
Kanamori, H. and Brodsky, E.E., 2001, ‘The physics of earthquakes’, Physics Today 54, 34–40.
Feldl, N. and Bilham, R., 2006, ‘Great Himalayan earthquake and the Tibetian plateau’, Nature 444, 165–170.
Subarya, C. et al. 2006, ‘Plate-boundary deformation associated with the great Sumatra-Andaman earthquake’, Nature 440, 46–51.
Olsen, E.L. and Allen, R.M., 2005, ‘The deterministic nature of earthquake rupture’, Nature 438, 212–215.
Han, S.C. et al., 2006, ‘Crustal dilatation observed by GRACE after the Sumatra-Andaman earthquake’, Science 313, 658–662.
Ouzounov, D. and Freund, F., 2004, ‘Mid-infrared emission prior to strong earthquakes analysed by remote sensing data’, Advances in Space Research 33, 268–273.
Liu, J.Y. et al., 2001, ‘Variations of ionospheric total electron content during the Chi-Chi earthquake’, Geophysical Resesearch Letters 28, 1383–1386.
Lognonné, P. et al., 2006, ‘Seismic waves in the ionosphere’, Europhysics News 37, 11–14.
Parrot, M. et al., 2006, ‘Examples of unusual ionospheric observations made by the DEMETER satellite over seismic regions’, Physics and Chemistry of the Earth 31, 486–495.
Ward, S., 2002, ‘Slip-sliding away’, Nature 415, 973–974.
McGuire, B., 2005, ‘Swept away’, New Scientist 2522, 22 October 2005, 38–41.
Geist, E.L. et al., 2006, ‘Waves of change’, Scientific American, January 2006, 42–49.
Titov, V. et al., 2005, ‘The Global Reach of the 26 December 2004 Sumatra Tsunami’, Science 309, 2045–2048.
Satake, K. and Atwater, B.F., 2007, ‘Long-term perspectives on giant earthquakes and tsunamis at subduction zones’, Annual Review of the Earth & Planetary Science 35, 349–374.
Mills, E., 2005, ‘Insurance in a climate of change’, Science 309, 1040–1044.
Bengtsson, L., 2007, ‘Tropical cyclones in a warmer climate’, WMO Bulletin 56, 1–7.
Witze, A., 2005, ‘Bad weather ahead’, Nature 441, 564–566.
Donnelly, J.P. and Woodruff, J.D., 2007, ‘Intense hurricane activity over the past 5000 years controlled by El Niño and the West African monsoon’, Nature 447, 465–468.
Nyberg, J. et al., 2007, ‘Low Atlantic hurricane activity in the 1970s and 1980s compared to the past 270 years’, Nature 447, 698–701.
Mooney, C., 2007, Storm world: hurricanes, politics and the battle over global warming, Harcourt, Ed., p. 392.
Reichhardt, T. et al., 2005, ‘After the flood’, Nature 437, 174–176.
McKenzie, J.A., 1999, ‘From desert to deluge in the Mediterranean’, Nature 440, 613–614.
Gupta, S., 2007, ‘How a map of the English Channel explained Britain’s island status’, Nature 448, xv.
Ryan, W. and Pitman, W., 1998, Noah’s Flood: The New Scientific Discoveries about the Event that Changed History, Simon & Schuster, p. 319.
Laurance, W.F., 2007, ‘Forests and floods’, Nature 449, 409–410.
The town of Nouakchott saw its population changing from 20,000 in 1960 to 350,000 in 1987, creating major problems of adaptation for the management of the city (see Engelbert, P., 2001, Dangerous Planet, Avalanche to Earthquake, Tome 1, Sadinski, D. (Ed.), UXL, p. 446).
Schiermeir, Q., 2005, ‘The chaos to come’, Nature 438, 906.
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2008 Praxis Publishing Ltd.
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
(2008). Terrestrial Hazards. In: Surviving 1,000 Centuries. Springer Praxis Books. Praxis. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-0-387-74635-7_4
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-0-387-74635-7_4
Publisher Name: Praxis
Print ISBN: 978-0-387-74633-3
Online ISBN: 978-0-387-74635-7
eBook Packages: Earth and Environmental ScienceEarth and Environmental Science (R0)