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Risk Pooling

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Building Intuition

Part of the book series: International Series in Operations Research & Management Science ((ISOR,volume 115))

This chapter shows that the following simple idea can be applied in many ways to manage business risks in the face of uncertainties. The standard deviation of a sum of interdependent random demands can be lower than the sum of the standard deviations of the component demands.

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Notes

  1. 1.

    1Read Chap. 8 to learn more about the Economic Order Quantity model.

  2. 2.

    2That is, z is a normal random variable with mean zero and variance one.

  3. 3.

    3Chapter 7 in this volume presents the basic principles of the newsvendor model.

  4. 4.

    4The payments to X and Y, respectively, are cQ/2 and (c + δ)Q/2, so the sum is (c + δ/2)Q.

  5. 5.

    5In Eq. (38) and the discussion of inventory consolidation, these symbols denote a week's demands at Springfield and Montreal, respectively.

  6. 6.

    6Here, L = 1 in (12) and 13).

  7. 7.

    7Recall the notation z for the fractile of the standard normal distribution where 100α% of the area lies to the right.

  8. 8.

    8Flexibility principles are presented in this volume in Chap. 3.

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Acknowledgments

The author is grateful to Anne, Elizabeth, and Richard for all that they have taught him.

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Sobel, M.J. (2008). Risk Pooling. In: Chhajed, D., Lowe, T.J. (eds) Building Intuition. International Series in Operations Research & Management Science, vol 115. Springer, Boston, MA. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-0-387-73699-0_9

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