Summary
This paper deals with the quantification and the evaluation of cancer risks which are associated with incidental exposures resulting from environmental accidents. To this end, the general risk assessment methodology is applied to the PCB/dioxin exposure incident in Belgium during the period January to June 1999. On that occasion, mineral oil from an electric transformer containing approximately 50 kg of PCBs, 1 g TEQ dioxins and about 2 g TEQ dioxin-like PCBs was added to the food chain.
The hazard identification shows that 2,3,7,8 TCDD is carcinogenic in humans. It is logical to estimate the cancer risk of the other dioxins and PCBs on the basis of their TEQ-value. Non-cancer effects of dioxin/PCB exposure include immunotoxic effects, impacts on brain development and thyroid metabolism, endometriosis and other effects on the reproductive system. The general pattern which emerges from this analysis points to the characteristic effects of endocrine disrupters.
The action mechanism of cancer generation by TCDD does not reveal any argument against a linear-effect relationship without a threshold dose. As a complement to that, maximum limits for dioxins in food have been established. They are based upon the consideration that daily intakes should not exceed 1–4 pg I-TEQ/kg body-weight/day. Also for the PCBs cancer risk, a linear dose without threshold can be accepted.
The exposure assessment shows that, in the past, Belgians faced high background exposure to dioxins and PCBs, resulting in an estimated body burden of 6.88 ng ITEQ/ kg body weight. The incident increased this level on average by 7 per cent. For PCBs, the incident-related increase amounted to 42 per cent.
On the basis of this data, the extra number of cancer deaths resulting from the 1999 Belgian incident is estimated to range between 44 and 8316. Also, changes in the thyroid metabolism and changes in immunological response in babies should be expected as a result of the incident.
These estimations are characterised by uncertainties. The most important concern the insufficiently-detailed exposure assessment, the lack of data on dioxins and PCBs in food during the crisis, the lack of specific risk figures for acute exposure episodes and the lack of knowledge, in particular of the PCB action mechanism.
Overall, the analysis conclusively shows that in a densely-populated, industrialised country such as Belgium, background levels of PCB and dioxin exposure are high. Therefore, any increase in exposure results in a parallel increase, not only in cancer risk, but also in the risk of non-cancer effects. Therefore, and because there is a clear trend of identifying dioxin and PCB-related health effects at decreasing doses, it is of main importance to keep the food chain-related exposure limited. This necessitates lower dioxin values than those the EU put in place on July 1st, 2002. Also the cost/benefit analysis of the introduction of waste products into the food chain should be reviewed.
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Hens, L. (2004). Health Impact Assessment of Accidents with Environmental Carcinogens. In: Nicolopoulou-Stamati, P., Hens, L., Howard, C.V., Van Larebeke, N. (eds) Cancer as an Environmental Disease. Environmental Science and Technology Library, vol 20. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-0-306-48513-8_6
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