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Modeling Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation Strategies for Crop Production in Egypt: An Overview

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Climate Change and Water Resources

Part of the book series: The Handbook of Environmental Chemistry ((HEC,volume 25))

Abstract

Understanding the potential impacts of climate change is very important in developing adaptation strategies and actions to reduce future climate change risks. In recent years, global climate change models have been used in Egypt to develop climate change scenarios. The objective of this chapter is to highlight the importance of using global climate change models to quantify the risk of climate change on wheat and maize production in Egypt. Field experiments data from case study sites located in four geographically different Egypt Governorates and CropSyst model output are incorporated in a climate change model to assess the effect of climate change scenarios and adaptation strategies on wheat and maize production in Egypt. Results show that the yield of both crops will be reduced under future climate change scenarios. The level of yield reduction depends on geographic location, soil type, and irrigation method. The model shows higher yield loss in the Middle of Egypt as compared to the North of Egypt. Furthermore, the model predicts higher yield losses for crops grown on sandy soils and under flood irrigation. It is concluded that it is necessary to improve adaptation to present day climate variability in order to reduce vulnerability to extreme events due to future climate change.

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Acknowledgments

The authors would like to express their gratitude to all fellow researchers who provided the data required to complete this chapter.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Water Requirements and Field Irrigation Research Department, Soils, Water, and Environment Research Institute, Agricultural Research Center, Giza, Egypt

    Samiha Ouda

  2. Department of Astronomy and Meteorology, Al Azhar University, Cairo Governorate, Egypt

    Gamal El-Afandi

  3. Crop Physiology Department, Field Crops Research Institute, Agricultural Research Center, Giza, Egypt

    Tahany Noreldin

Authors
  1. Samiha Ouda
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  2. Gamal El-Afandi
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  3. Tahany Noreldin
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Correspondence to Samiha Ouda .

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    Tamim Younos

  2. Center Street 1422, Lafayette, 47905, Indiana, USA

    Caitlin A. Grady

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Ouda, S., El-Afandi, G., Noreldin, T. (2013). Modeling Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation Strategies for Crop Production in Egypt: An Overview. In: Younos, T., Grady, C. (eds) Climate Change and Water Resources. The Handbook of Environmental Chemistry, vol 25. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/698_2013_226

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