Risk Methodology for Multimedia Projects Assessments

  • Kjell Stordahl
  • Nils Kristian Elnesgaard
  • Leif Aarthun Ims
  • Borgar Tørre Olsen
Conference paper
Part of the Lecture Notes in Computer Science book series (LNCS, volume 1629)


The paper describes a methodology for performing quantitative risk analysis of multimedia projects, as developed in the ACTS projects OPTIMUM and TERA. A framework for risk analysis is presented, encompassing key elements such as choice of probability density functions, correlation between important variables, simulation performance, methodology for cost predictions, demand forecasts, tariff predictions and associated uncertainties. The TERA tool for techno-economic evaluation is presented and the important steps in network evaluation identified. The paper examines how much the most critical factors contribute to the overall risk profile of telecommunications operator projects and studies the dependencies between variables.


Relative Standard Deviation Relative Uncertainty Demand Forecast IEEE Communication Magazine Delphi Survey 
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Copyright information

© Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 1999

Authors and Affiliations

  • Kjell Stordahl
    • 1
  • Nils Kristian Elnesgaard
    • 2
  • Leif Aarthun Ims
    • 3
  • Borgar Tørre Olsen
    • 3
  1. 1.Telenor NettOsloNorway
  2. 2.TeleDanmark, Research and DevelopmentTåstrupDenmark
  3. 3.Telenor, Research and DevelopmentKjellerNorway

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