Skip to main content

Multi-parameter models: rules and computational methods for combining uncertainties

  • Chapter
Analyzing Uncertainty in Civil Engineering

Summary

This paper is devoted to the construction of sets of joint probability measures for the case that the marginal sets of probability measures are generated by random sets. Different conditions on the choice of the weights of the joint focal sets and on the probability measures on these sets lead to different types of independence such as strong independence, random set independence, fuzzy set independence and unknown interaction. As an application the upper probabilities of failure of a beam bedded on two springs are computed.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 129.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 169.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD 169.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  1. I. Couso, S. Moral, and P. Walley. Examples of independence for imprecise probabilities. In G. de Cooman, G. Cozman, S. Moral, and P. Walley, editors, Proceedings of the first international symposium on imprecise probabilities and their applications, pages 121–130, Ghent, 1999. Universiteit Gent.

    Google Scholar 

  2. G. De Cooman. Possibility theory III: possibilistic independence. International Journal of General Systems, 25:353–371, 1997.

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  3. A. P. Dempster. Upper and lower probabilities induced by a multivalued mapping. Ann. Math. Stat., 38:325–339, 1967.

    MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  4. Th. Fetz. Finite element method with fuzzy parameters. In Troch I. and Breitenecker F., editors, Proceedings IMACS Symposium on Mathematical Modelling, volume 11, pages 81–86, Vienna, 1997. ARGESIM Report.

    Google Scholar 

  5. Th. Fetz. Sets of joint probability measures generated by weighted marginal focal sets. In G. de Cooman, T. Fine, T. Seidenfeld (Eds.), ISIPTA’01, Proceedings of the Second Symposium on Imprecise Probabilities and Their Applications., pages 171–178, Maastricht, 2001. Shaker Publ. BV.

    Google Scholar 

  6. Th. Fetz. Mengen von gemeinsamen Wahrscheinlichkeitsmaßen erzeugt von zufälligen Mengen, Dissertation, Universität Innsbruck, 2003. Multi-parameter models 99

    Google Scholar 

  7. Th. Fetz, M. Hofmeister, G. Hunger, J. Jäger, H. Lessman, M. Oberguggenberger, A. Rieser, and R. F. Stark. Tunnelberechnung — Fuzzy? Bauingenieur, 72:33–40, 1997.

    Google Scholar 

  8. Th. Fetz, J. Jäger, D. Köll, G. Krenn, H. Lessmann, M. Oberguggenberger, and R. Stark. Fuzzy models in geotechnical engineering and construction management. In this volume.

    Google Scholar 

  9. Th. Fetz and M. Oberguggenberger. Propagation of uncertainty through multivariate functions in the framework of sets of probability measures. Reliability Engineering and Systems Safety, 85:73–87, 2004.

    Google Scholar 

  10. Th. Fetz, M. Oberguggenberger, and S. Pittschmann. Applications of possibility and evidence theory in civil engineering. Internat. J. Uncertain. Fuzziness Knowledge-Based Systems, 8(3):295–309, 2000.

    MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  11. R. Hammer, M. Hocks, U. Kulisch, and D. Ratz. C++ Toolbox for Verified Computing. Springer, Berlin, 1995.

    Google Scholar 

  12. B. Möller. Fuzzy-Modellierung in der Baustatik. Bauingenieur, 72:75–84, 1997.

    Google Scholar 

  13. B. Möller, M. Beer, W. Graf, and A. Hoffmann. Possibility theory based safety assessment. Computer-Aided Civil and Infrastructure Engineering, 14:81–91, 1999.

    Google Scholar 

  14. R. L. Muhanna and R. L. Mullen. Formulation of fuzzy finite-element methods for solid mechanics problems. Computer Aided Civil and Infrastructure Engineering, 14:107–117, 1999.

    Google Scholar 

  15. F. Tonon and A. Bernardini. A random set approach to the optimization of uncertain structures. Comput. Struct., 68(6):583–600, 1998.

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  16. F. Tonon and A. Bernardini. Multiobjective optimization of uncerta in structures through fuzzy set and random set theory. Computer-Aided Civil and Infrastructure Engineering, 14:119–140, 1999.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  17. P. Walley. Statistical reasoning with imprecise probabilities. Chapman and Hall, London, 1991.

    Google Scholar 

  18. Z. Wang and G. J. Klir. Fuzzy Measure Theory. Plenum Press, New York, 1992.

    Google Scholar 

  19. L. A. Zadeh. Fuzzy sets as a basis for a theory of possibility. Fuzzy Sets and Systems, 1:3–28, 1978.

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2005 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg

About this chapter

Cite this chapter

Fetz, T. (2005). Multi-parameter models: rules and computational methods for combining uncertainties. In: Fellin, W., Lessmann, H., Oberguggenberger, M., Vieider, R. (eds) Analyzing Uncertainty in Civil Engineering. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/3-540-26847-2_5

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/3-540-26847-2_5

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-540-22246-0

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-540-26847-5

  • eBook Packages: EngineeringEngineering (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics