Abstract
This paper discusses a framework for assigning probabilities to rules in an expert system to deal with uncertainty knowledge processing. The objective is to enable a system to respond to environmental or uncontrollable factors in a strategic manner. We define guards for representing probabilities and then discuss operators and axioms, as part of a problem solver, for guiding probability assignments. We then demonstrate the capabilities of this problem solver by applying to an example taken from game theory.
This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution.
Preview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
References
Aikins, J.S. “A Representation Scheme Using Both Frames and Rules,” In Rule-based Expert Systems, B.G. Buchanan and E.H. Shortliffe, Eds. Addison-Wesley, Reading, Mass., 1984, pp. 424–440.
Bobrow, D.G., and Winograd, T. “An Overview of KRL, A Knowledge Representation Language,” Cognitive Science, 1,1 (Jan. 1977), pp. 3–46.
Brachman, R.J., and Schmolze, J.G. “An Overview of the KL-ONE Knowledge Representation System,” Cognitive Science, 9,2 (April 1985), pp. 171–216.
Fikes, R. and Kehler, T. “The Role of Frame-based Representation in Reasoning,” CACM, Vol. 28, No. 9, Sept. 1985, pp. 904–920.
Hayes-Roth, F., Waterman, D.A., and Lenat, D.B. Building Expert Systems, Addison-Wesley, Reading, Mass., 1983.
Hayes-Roth, F., “Rule Based Systems,” CACM, Vol. 28, No. 9, Sept. 1885, pp 921–932
Kehler, T.P., and Clemenson, G.D. “An Application Development System for Expert Systems,” em System Software 3,1 (Jan 1984), 212–224.
Nilsson, N.J., Principles of Artificial Intelligence, Tioga Publishing, Palo Alto, CA, 1979.
Raiffa, L. Games and Decisions, John Wiley, New York 1957.
Shortliffe, E.H. Computer Based Medical Consultations: MYCIN, Elsevier North Holland, New York, 1976.
Slagle, J.R. and L.M. Norton, “Experiments with An Automatic Theorem-Prover Having Partial Reordering Inference Rules,” CACM, Vol.16, No.11, 1973, pp 682–688.
Stefik, M., Bobrow, D.G., Mittal, S., and Conway, L. “Knowledge Programming in LOOPS: Report on An Experimental Course,” Artificial Intelligence 4,3 (Fall 1983), 3–14.
Warren, D.H. and L.M. Pereira, “PROLOG: The Language and Its Implementation Compared with LISP,” Proc. ACM Symp. on Artificial Intelligence and Programming, University of Rochester, Rochester, NY, August, 1977, pp 109–115.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Editor information
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 1987 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg
About this paper
Cite this paper
Shen, S. (1987). A framework for assigning probabilities in knowledge-based systems. In: Bouchon, B., Yager, R.R. (eds) Uncertainty in Knowledge-Based Systems. IPMU 1986. Lecture Notes in Computer Science, vol 286. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/3-540-18579-8_18
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/3-540-18579-8_18
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg
Print ISBN: 978-3-540-18579-6
Online ISBN: 978-3-540-48020-4
eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive