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Forecasting Earthquakes with the Virtual Quake Simulator: Regional and Fault-Partitioned Catalogs

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International Symposium on Geodesy for Earthquake and Natural Hazards (GENAH)

Part of the book series: International Association of Geodesy Symposia ((IAG SYMPOSIA,volume 145))

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Abstract

We introduce a framework for forecasting earthquakes using Virtual Quake (VQ), the generalized successor to the perhaps better known Virtual California earthquake simulator. We briefly introduce the VQ simulator, including its availability to research organizations and statistics relevant to earthquake forecasting applications. We discuss contemporary, regional type, forecasts and also show that forecasts can be significantly improved by partitioning catalogs along fault sections.

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Acknowledgements

This research is supported by the NASA Earth and Space Science fellowship number NNX11AL92H, NASA grant NNX08AF69G, and JPL Subcontract 1291967.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Department of Physics, University of California Davis, Davis, CA, USA

    Mark R. Yoder, Kasey W. Schultz & John B. Rundle

  2. Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, University of California Davis, Davis, CA, USA

    Eric M. Heien, John B. Rundle & Donald L. Turcotte

  3. Santa Fe Institute, Santa Fe, NM, USA

    John B. Rundle

  4. NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory (JPL), Pasadena, CA, USA

    Jay W. Parker & Andrea Donnellan

Authors
  1. Mark R. Yoder
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  2. Kasey W. Schultz
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  3. Eric M. Heien
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  4. John B. Rundle
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  5. Donald L. Turcotte
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  6. Jay W. Parker
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  7. Andrea Donnellan
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Corresponding author

Correspondence to Mark R. Yoder .

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Editors and Affiliations

  1. Kyoto University, Disaster Prevention Research Institute Kyoto University, Uji, Kyoto, Japan

    Manabu Hashimoto

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Yoder, M.R. et al. (2015). Forecasting Earthquakes with the Virtual Quake Simulator: Regional and Fault-Partitioned Catalogs. In: Hashimoto, M. (eds) International Symposium on Geodesy for Earthquake and Natural Hazards (GENAH). International Association of Geodesy Symposia, vol 145. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/1345_2015_198

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