Abstract
An analysis of the F2-layer short-term forecast problem has been done. Both objective and methodological problems prevent us from a deliberate F2-layer forecast issuing at present. An empirical approach based on statistical methods may be recommended for practical use. A forecast method based on a new aeronomic index (a proxy) AI has been proposed and tested over selected 64 severe storm events. The method provides an acceptable prediction accuracy both for strongly disturbed and quiet conditions. The problems with the prediction of the F2-layer quiet-time disturbances as well as some other unsolved problems are discussed
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Mikhailov, A., Depuev, V., Depueva, A. (2007). Short-Term fo F2 Forecast: Present Day State of Art. In: Lilensten, J. (eds) Space Weather. Astrophysics and Space Science Library, vol 344. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/1-4020-5446-7_16
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