Abstract
When in spring 2002 thousands of Argentineans protested against their government’s economic policy, their anger was directed against, amongst other issues, the economic liberalization of the 1990s. After decades of protectionism, the Latin-American state followed the recommendation of the IMF, as did its neighbors, and systematically opened its markets of goods and capital. Critics of globalization considered the Argentinean crisis as an affirmation of their skepticism towards the “Washington consensus”, namely the recipes of liberalization and deregulation. According to their interpretation, economic integration instigates socio-political conflicts because of the redistributive effects of liberalization. While capital owners and multinational firms profit from the renunciation of import substitution and other protectionist measures, the working population and the local industry are, in this perspective, the losers of the new policy.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Preview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
References
Alesina, A.and Drazen, A., 1991, Why are stabilizations delayed?, American Economic Review 81: 1170–88.
Alesina, A. and Perotti, R., 1996, Income distribution, political instability, and investment, European Economic Review 40: 1203–28.
Alesina, A., Spolare, E., and Wacziarg, R., 1997, Economic integration and political disintegration, NBER Working Paper Nr. 6163.
Alesina, A., and Wacziarg, R., 1998, Openness, country size and government, Journal of Public Economics 69: 305–321.
Auvinen, J., 1997, Political conflict in less developed countries 1981-89, Journal of Peace Research 34(2): 177–195.
Barbieri, K., and Schneider, G., 1999, Globalization and peace: Assessing new directions in the study of trade and conflict, Journal of Peace Research 3(4): 387–404.
Beck, N., Katz, J. N., and Tucker R., 1998, Taking time seriously in binary time-series—cross-section analysis, American Journal of Political Science 42(4): 1260–1288.
Benson, M., and Kugler, J., 1998, Power parity, democracy, and the severity of internal violence, Journal of Conflict Resolution 42(2): 196–209.
Bliss, H., and Russett, B., 1998, Democratic trading partners: The liberal connection, 19621989, The Journal of Politics 60: 1126–47.
Boswell, T., and Dixon, W. J., 1993, Marx’s theory of rebellion: A cross-national analysis of class exploitation, economic development, and violent revolt, American Sociological Review 58(5): 681–702.
Bourguignon, F., and Morrisson, C., 1990, Income distribution, development and foreign trade: A cross sectional analysis, European Economic Review 34: 1113–1132.
Bueno de Mesquita, B., Morrow, J. D., Siverson, R. M., and Smith, A., 2000, Political institutions, political survival, and policy success, in: Governing for Prosperity, B. Bueno de Mesquita and H. L. Root, eds., Yale University Press, New Haven and London, pp. 59–84.
Bussmann, M., de Soysa, I., and Oneal, J. R., 2002, The effect of foreign investment on economic development and income inequality. ZEF-Discussion Paper on Development Policy no. 53, Bonn.
Bussmann, M., Scheuthle, H., and Schneider, G., 2003, Die ‘Friedensdividende’ der Globalisierung: Auβenwirtschaftliche Öffnung und innenpolitische Stabilität in den Entwicklungsländern, Politische Vierteljahresschrift 44 (2003), 302–324.
CNTS Archive, 2001, Cross-National Time-Series Archive; http://www.databanks.sitehost-ing.net/www/main.htm.
Collier, P., 2001, Implications of ethnic diversity, Economic Policy 16(32): 127–166.
Collier, P., and Hoeffler, A., 1998, On economic causes of civil war, Oxford Economic Papers 50: 563–573.
Collier, P., and Hoeffler, A., 2000, Greed and grievance in civil war, unpublished manuscript, World Bank.
Deininger, K., and Squire, L., 1996, A new data set measuring income inequality. World Bank Economic Review 10: 565–91.
de Soysa, I., 2002, Paradise is a bazaar? Greed, creed, and governance in civil war, 1989-99, Journal of Peace Research 39(4): 395–416.
Deutsch, K. W., et al, 1957, Political Community and the North Atlantic Area: International Organization in the Light of Historical Experience, Princeton, N.J.
Edwards, S., 1997, Trade policy, growth, and income distribution, American Economic Review 87(2): 205–210.
Elbadawi, I., and Sambanis, N., 2000, How much war will we see? Estimating the incidence of civil war in 161 countries, unpublished manuscript, World Bank.
Ellingsen, T., 2000, Colorful community or ethnic witches’ brew? Multiethnicity and domestic conflict during and after the cold war, Journal of Conflict Resolution 44(2): 228–249.
Esty, D. C., Goldstone, J., Gurr, T. R., Harff, B., Surko, B. T., Unger, A. N., and Chen, R. S., 1998, The state failure project: Early warning research for U.S. foreign policy planning, in: Preventive Measures. Building Risk Assessment and Crisis Early Warning Systems, J. L. Davies and T. R. Gurr, eds., Rowman and Littlefield Publishers, Inc., Lanham, MD, pp. 27–38.
Fearon, J. D., and Laitin, D. D., 2003, Ethnicity, insurgency, and civil war, American Political Science Review 97(1): 75–90.
Fernandez, R., and Rodrik, D., 1991, Resistance to reform: Status quo bias in the presence of individual-specific uncertainty, American Economic Review 81(5): 1146–1155.
Fischer, R. D., 2001, The evolution of inequality after trade liberalization, Journal of Development Economics 66: 555–579.
Frey, B. S., and Eichenberger, R., 1994, The political economy of stabilization programmes in developing countries, European Journal of Political Economy 10: 169–190.
Frieden, J. A., 1991, Debt, Development, and Democracy. Modern Political Economy and Latin America, 1965–1985, Princeton, NJ.
Gleditsch, N. P., 1995, Democracy and the future of European peace, European Journal of International Relations 1(4): 539–571.
Gurr, T. R., 1971, Why Men Rebel, Princeton University Press, Princeton, NJ.
Gurr, T. R., 1979, Political protest and rebellion in the 1960s: The United States in world perspective, in: Violence in America: Historical and Comparative Perspectives, H. D. Graham and T. R. Gurr, eds., Sage, Beverly Hills, CA.
Gurr, T. R., 1994, Minorities at Risk. A Global View of Ethnopolitical Conflicts, United States Institute of Peace Press, Washington, DC.
Hegre, H., Ellingsen, T., Gates, S., and Gleditsch, N. P., 2001, Toward a democratic civil peace? Democracy, political change, and civil war, 1816-1992, American Political Science Review 95: 33–48.
Henderson, E. A., and Singer, D. J., 2000, Civil war in the post-colonial world, 1946-1992, Journal of Peace Research 37(3): 275–299.
International Monetary Fund, Various Years, Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange Restrictions, IMF, Washington D.C.
Jagodzinski, W., 1983, Ökonomische Entwicklung und politisches Protestverhalten 1920–1973. Eine kombinierte Quer- und Längsschnittanalyse. Politische Vierteljahresschrift Sonderheft 14: 18–43.
Kant, I., 1795, 1986, Zum ewigen Frieden: ein philosophischer Entwurf, Engelholm Verlag, Stuttgart.
Kimenyi, M. S., and Mbaku, J. M., 1993, Rent-seeking and institutional stability in developing countries, Public Choice 77: 385–405.
King, G., and Zeng, L., 2001, Improving forecasts of state failure, World Politics 53: 623–58.
Krugman, P. R., and Obstfeld, M., 2000, International Economics: Theory and Policy, 5th ed., Addison-Wesley, Reading.
Lipset, S. M., 1959, Some social requisites of democracy: Economic development and political legitimacy, American Political Science Review 53: 69–106.
Marshall, M. G., and Jaggers, K., 2000, Polity IV project: Dataset users manual, http://www.bsos.umd.edu/cidcm/inscr/polity/index.htm.
Martin, C. W., Plümper, T., and Schneider, G., 2001, Economic openness in developing countries: An empirical investigation using CACAO, unpublished manuscript, Universität Konstanz.
Muller, E. N., and Seligson, M. A., 1987, Inequality and insurgency, American Political Science Review 81(2): 425–452.
Muller, E. N., and Weede, E., 1990, Cross-national variation in political violence. A rational action approach, Journal of Conflict Resolution 34(4): 624–651.
Olson, M. Jr., 1965, The Logic of Collective Action, Harvard University Press, Cambridge, MA.
Plümper, T., 2001, Weltwirtschaft und Wohlfahrt. Die politischen Determinanten des Wachstumsbeitrages der auβE enwirtschaftlichen Offenheit, Unpublished habilitation thesis, University of Konstanz.
Plümper, T., and Schneider, G., 2000, The trilemma of the protectionist autocrat: Assessing the link between democratization, governmental divisions and foreign economic liberalization, paper presented at the APSA Conference, October 1–5, 2000.
Przeworski, A., Alvarez, M. E., Cheibub, J. A., and Limongi, F., 2002, Democracy and Development. Political Institutions and Well-Being in the World, 1950–1990, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
Pritzl, R., and Schneider, F., 1997, Zur Politischen Ökonomie autokratischer politischer Systeme. Ein theoretischer und empirischer Ansatz, Arbeitspapier Nr. 9713, Institut für Volkswirtschaftslehre, Johannes Kepler Universität Linz.
Rodrik, D., 1994, The rush to free trade in the developing world: Why so late? Why now? Will it last?, in: Voting for Reform: Democracy, Political Liberalization, and Economic Adjustment, S. Haggard and S. B. Webb, eds., Oxford University Press, New York, pp. 61–88.
Rogowski, R., 1989, Commerce and Coalitions. How Trade Affects Domestic Political Alignments, Princeton University Press, Princeton, NJ.
Rothgeb, J. M. Jr., 1990, Investment dependence and political conflict in third world countries, Journal of Peace Research 27(3): 255–272.
Rummel, R. J., 1997, Power Kills. Democracy as a Method of Nonviolence, Transaction Publishers, New Brunswick, NJ.
Russett, B., 1993, Grasping the Democratic Peace, Princeton University Press, Princeton.
Russett, B., and Oneal, J. R., 2001, Triangulating Peace: Democracy, Interdependence, and International Organizations, Princeton University Press, Princeton, NJ.
Sachs, J. D., and Warner, A., 1995, Economic reform and the process of global integration, Brookings Papers on Economic Activity 1: 1–118.
Schneider, G., Barbieri, K., and Gleditsch, N. P., 2003, Globalization and Armed Conflict, Lanham, MD.
Schock, K., 1996, A conjunctural model of political conflict. The impact of political opportunities on the relationship between economic inequality and violent political conflict, Journal of Conflict Resolution 40(1): 98–134.
Sidell, S. R., 1988, The IMF and Third-World Political Instability. Is There a Connection?, Macmillan Press, Houndmills.
Tarrow, S., 1989, Struggle, Politics, and Reform: Collective Action, Social Movements, and Cycles of Protest, Ithaca, NY.
Tarrow, S., 1998, Power in Movement: Social Movements and Contentious Politics, New York.
Tilly, C., 1978, From Mobilization To Revolution, Random House, New York.
Tucker, R., 1999, BTSCS: A Binary Time-Series–Cross-Section Data Analysis Utility. Version 4.0.4. Harvard University, Cambridge, MA. http://www.fas.harvard.edu/rtucker/programs/btscs/btscs.html.
Tullock, G., 1980, Rent seeking as a negative-sum game, in: Toward a Theory of the Rent Seeking Society, J. M. Buchanan, R. D. Tollison, G. Tullock, eds., Texas A+M University, College Station, pp. 16–36.
Weede, E., 1990, Wirtschaft, Staat und Gesellschaft, Mohr, Tübingen.
Wood, A., 1994, North-South Trade, Employment and Inequality: Changing Fortunes in a Skill-Driven World, Clarendon Press, Oxford.
World Bank, 1999, World Development Indicators 1999 CD-ROM, World Bank, Washington, DC.
Zanger, S., 2000, A global analysis of the effect of political regime changes on life integrity violations, 1977–93, Journal of Peace Research 37(2): 213–233.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2006 Springer
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Bussmann, M., Scheuthle, H., Schneider, G. (2006). Trade Liberalization and Political Instability in Developing Countries. In: Trappl, R. (eds) Programming for Peace. Advances in Group Decision and Negotiation, vol 2. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/1-4020-4390-2_3
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/1-4020-4390-2_3
Publisher Name: Springer, Dordrecht
Print ISBN: 978-1-4020-4377-2
Online ISBN: 978-1-4020-4390-1
eBook Packages: Humanities, Social Sciences and LawHistory (R0)