Abstract
According to the Second and Third Assessment Reports of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC 1996; 2001) the increase in mean surface air temperature of the northern hemisphere was larger in the 20th century than in any other period of the last 1000 years. The decade 1990–1999 was the warmest of this time period. It is also believed that this increase in air temperature will be accompanied by intensification of the global hydrological cycle and, in the same chain of cause and effect, by enhanced evaporation and precipitation (Schär and Frei, this volume). However, the scientific community needs to gain a better understanding of the biosphere-atmosphere system before being confident on the predictions of hvdrolodcal processes in a future climate (Frei et al. 2000: Ohmura and Wild 2002).
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Gurtz, J., Lang, H., Verbunt, M., Zappa, M. (2005). The Use of Hydrological Models for the Simulation of Climate Change Impacts on Mountain Hydrology. In: Huber, U.M., Bugmann, H.K.M., Reasoner, M.A. (eds) Global Change and Mountain Regions. Advances in Global Change Research, vol 23. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/1-4020-3508-X_34
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