Summary
We consider a semi-Markov chain, with a finite state space. Taking a censored history, we obtain empirical estimators for the discrete semi-Markov kernel, renewal function and semi-Markov transition function. We propose estimators for two different failure rate functions: the usual failure rate, BMP-failure rate, defined by [BMP63], and the new introduced failure rate, RG-failure rate, proposed by [RG92]. We study the strong consistency and the asymptotic normality for each estimator and we construct the confidence intervals. We illustrate our results by a numerical example.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Preview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
References
Barbu, V., Boussemart, M., Limnios, N.: Discrete time semi-Markov model for reliability and survival analysis. To appear in: Communications in Statistics-Theory and Methods, 33 (11) (2004)
Barbu, V., Limnios, N.: Discrete Time Semi-Markov Processes for Reliability and Survival Analysis-A Nonparametric Estimation Approach. In Nikulin, M., Balakrishnan, N., Meshbah, M., Limnios, N. (eds) Parametric and Semiparametric Models with Applications to Reliability, Survival Analysis and Quality of Life. Birkhäuser, Boston, 487–502 (2004)
Barbu, V., Limnios, N.: Nonparametric estimation for discrete time semi-Markov processes with applications in reliability. Submitted for publication (2004)
Barlow, R.E., Marshall, A.W., Prochan, F.: Properties of probability distributions with monotone hazard rate. Annals of Mathematical Statistics, 34, 375–389 (1963)
Barlow, R.E., Prochan, F.: Statistical theory of reliability and life testing: probability models. Holt, Rinehart and Winston, New York (1975)
Bracquemond, C.: Modélisation stochastique du vieillissement en temps discret. PhD Thesis, Laboratoire de Modélisation et Calcul, Grenoble (2001)
Bracquemond, C., Gaudoin, O., Xie, M.: Towards a new definition of failure rate for discrete distributions. 10th International Symposium on Applied Stochastic Models and Data Analysis, Vol. 2, 266–270 (2001)
Csenki, A.: Transition analysis of semi-Markov reliability models-A tutorial review with emphasis on discrete-parameter approaches. In: Osaki, S. (ed) Stochastic Models in Reliability and Maintenance. Springer, Berlin, 219–251 (2002)
Howard, R.: Dynamic Probabilistic systems. vol. II, Wiley, New York (1971)
Limnios, N., Oprisan, G.: A unified approach for reliability and performability evaluation of semi-Markov systems. Appl. Stochastic Models Bus. Ind., 15, 353–368 (1999)
Limnios, N., Oprisan, G.: Semi-Markov Processes and Reliability. Birkhäuser, Boston (2001)
Limnios, N., Ouhbi, B.: Empirical estimators of reliability and related functions for semi-Markov systems. In: Lindqvist, B., Doksum, K.A. (eds) Mathematical and Statistical Methods in Reliability. World Scientific Publishing, 7 (2003)
Mode, C.J., Sleeman, C.K.: Stochastic processes in epidemiology. World Scientific, New Jersey (2000)
Moore, E.H., Pyke, R.: Estimation of the transition distributions of a Markov renewal process. Ann. Inst. Statist. Math., 20, 411–424 (1968)
Nakagawa, T., Osaki, S.: The discrete Weibull distribution. IEEE Trans. On Reliability, R-24, 300–301 (1975)
Ouhbi, B. Limnios, N.: Nonparametric estimation for semi-Markov processes based on its hazard rate functions. Statistical Inference for Stochastic Processes, 2(2), 151–173 (1999)
Ouhbi, B., Limnios, N.: Non-parametric failure rate estimation of semi-Markov systems. In: Janssen, J., Limnios, N. (eds) Semi-Markov models and applications. Kluwer, Dordrecht, 207–218 (1998)
Pyke, R., Schaufele, R.: Limit theorems for Markov renewal processes. Annals of Mathematical Statistics, 35, 1746–1764 (1964)
Roy, D., Gupta, R.: Classification of discrete lives. Microelectron. Reliab., 32(10), 1459–1473 (1992)
Sadek, A., Limnios, N.: Asymptotic properties for maximum likelihood estimators for reliability and failure rates of Markov chains. Communications in Statistics-Theory and Methods, 31(10), 1837–1861 (2002)
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2006 Springer Science+Business Media, Inc.
About this paper
Cite this paper
Barbu, V., Limnios, N. (2006). Nonparametric Estimation for Failure Rate Functions of Discrete Time semi-Markov Processes. In: Nikulin, M., Commenges, D., Huber, C. (eds) Probability, Statistics and Modelling in Public Health. Springer, Boston, MA. https://doi.org/10.1007/0-387-26023-4_5
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/0-387-26023-4_5
Publisher Name: Springer, Boston, MA
Print ISBN: 978-0-387-26022-8
Online ISBN: 978-0-387-26023-5
eBook Packages: Mathematics and StatisticsMathematics and Statistics (R0)