Skip to main content
SpringerLink
Log in

A Dynamic Model of the Spatial Spread of an Infectious Disease: The Case of Fox Rabies in Illinois

  • Chapter
Landscape Simulation Modeling

Part of the book series: Modeling Dynamic Systems ((MDS))

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Log in via an institution
Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 39.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 54.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD 54.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  • Acock, B. and J.F. Reynolds. 1990. Model structure and data base development, in Process Modeling of Forest Growth Responses to Environmental Stress (Dixon, R.K., R.S. Meldahl, G.A. Ruark and W.G. Warren, eds.). Timber Press, Portland, OR.

    Google Scholar 

  • Anderson, R.M., H.C. Jackson, R M. May, A.M. Smith. 1981. Population dynamics of fox rabies in europe. Nature 289:765–771.

    Article  PubMed  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Bacon, P. and D. MacDonald. 1980a. To control rabies: Vaccinate foxes. New Scientist 28, p. 356.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bacon, P.J. 1985. Population Dynamics of Rabies in Wildlife. Academic Press. New York, NY. Vol. 4:90–93.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bacon, P.J. and D. MacDonald. 1980b. Habitat and the spread of rabies. Nature 289:634–635.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Baer, G.M. (ed.). 1975. The Natural History of Rabies: Volume I. Academic Press. New York.

    Google Scholar 

  • Baer, G.M., M.K. Abelseth, and J.G. Debbie. 1971. Oral vaccination of foxes against rabies. American Journal of Epidemiology 93(6):487–490.

    PubMed  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Benenson, A.S. 1995. Control of Communicable Diseases Manual, 16th ed. American Public Health Association. Washington, DC, pp. 382–390.

    Google Scholar 

  • Black, J.G. and K.F. Lawson. 1973. Further studies of sylvatic rabies in the fox (Vulpes vulpes): Vaccination by oral route. Canadian Veterinary Journal 14(9):206–211.

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Bogel, K., H. Moegle, W. Krocza, and L. Andral. 1981. Assessment of fox control in areas of wildlife rabies. Bulletin of the World Health Organization 59(20):269–279.

    Google Scholar 

  • Costanza, R. and T. Maxwell. 1991. Spatial ecosystem modeling using parallel processors. Ecological Modeling 58:159–183.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Costanza, R., F.H. Sklar, and M.L. White. 1990. Modeling coastal landscape dynamics. BioScience 40:91–107.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Cowan, I.M. 1949. Rabies as a possible population control of arctic canidae. Journal of Mammalogy 30(4):396–398.

    PubMed  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • David, J.M., L. Andral, and M. Artois. 1982. Computer simulation model of the epi-enzootic disease of vulpine rabies. Ecological Modelling 15:107–125.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Doncaster, C.P. and D.W. MacDonald. 1997. Activity patterns and interactions of red foxes (Vulpes vulpes) in Oxford city. Journal of Zoology 241:73–87.

    Google Scholar 

  • Fenner, F.J., E.P.J. Gibbs, F.A. Murphy, R. Rott, M.J. Studdert, and D.O. White. 1993. Veterinary Virology, 2nd ed. Academic Press, New York.

    Google Scholar 

  • Fields, B.N., D.M. Knipe, R.M. Chanock, M.S. Hirsch, J.L. Melnick, T.P. Monath, and B. Roizman. 1990. Virology, 2nd ed. Raven Press. New York, pp. 867–930.

    Google Scholar 

  • Forrester, J.W. 1961. Industrial Dynamics. M.I.T. Press, Cambridge, MA.

    Google Scholar 

  • Gardner, G.A., Leslie R.T. Gardner and J. Cunningham. 1990. Simulations of a fox-rabies epidemic on an island using space-time finite elements. V Zeitschriftfur Naturforschung 45c: 1230–1240.

    Google Scholar 

  • Garnerin, P., S. Hazout, and A.J. Valleron. 1986. Estimation of two epidemiological parameters of fox rabies: The length of incubation period and the dispersion distance of cubs. Ecological Modelling 33:123–135.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Goodall, D. W. 1974. The hierarchical approach to model building, in Proceedings of the First International Congress of Ecology. Center for Agricultural Publishing and Documentation, Wageningen, Netherlands.

    Google Scholar 

  • Gosselink, T. 1998. Personal communication. Illinois Natural History Survey, Champaign, IL.

    Google Scholar 

  • GRASS. 1993. The Geographic Resources Analysis Support System User’s Reference Manual. U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Champaign, IL, Vol. 4.1.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hannon B. and M. Ruth. 1997. Modeling Dynamic Biological Systems. Springer-Verlag. New York.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hubert, G. Jr. 1998. Division of Wildlife Resources, Illinois Department of Natural Resources. Telephone interview May 12, 1998.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kaplan, C, G.S. Turner, and D.A. Warrell. 1986. Rabies: The Facts. Oxford University Press, Oxford, Vol. 2, pp. 8–20.

    Google Scholar 

  • Luman, D., M. Joselyn, and L. Suloway. 1996. Illinois Scientific Survey Joint Report #3. Illinois Natural History Survey, Champaign, IL.

    Google Scholar 

  • MacDonald, D.W. 1980. Rabies and Wildlife: A Biologist’s Perspective. Oxford University Press, Oxford.

    Google Scholar 

  • Maxwell, T. and R. Costanza 1994. Spatial ecosystem modeling in a distributed Computational Environment, in Toward Sustainable Development: Concepts, Methods, and Policy (van den Bergh J. and J. van der Straaten, eds.). Island Press, Washington, DC, pp. 111–138.

    Google Scholar 

  • Maxwell, T. and R. Costanza. 1995. Distributed modular spatial ecosystem modeling. International Journal of Computer Simulation 5(3):247–262; special issue on advanced simulation methodologies.

    Google Scholar 

  • Murray J.D. 1987. Modeling the spread of rabies. American Scientist 75:280–284.

    Google Scholar 

  • Murray J.D., E.A. Stanley, and D.L. Brown. 1986. On the spatial spread of rabies among foxes. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London B229:111–150.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Parker, R.L. and R.E. Wilsnack. 1966. Pathogenesis of skunk rabies virus: Quantification in skunks and foxes. American Journal of Veterinary Research 27(116):33–38.

    PubMed  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Risser, P.G., J.R. Karr, & R.T.T. Forman 1984. Landscape Ecology: Directions and Approaches. Illinois Natural History Survey, Champaign, IL.

    Google Scholar 

  • Rupprecht, C.E., J.S. Smith, M. Fekadu, and J.E. Childs. 1995. The ascension of wildlife rabies: A cause for public health concern of intervention. Emerging Infectious Diseases 1(4): 107–114.

    Article  PubMed  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Ruth, M. and B. Hannon. 1997. Modeling Dynamic Economic Systems. Springer-Verlag. New York.

    Google Scholar 

  • Scherba G., 1998. Presentation to Ecological Modeling Group, April 1998.

    Google Scholar 

  • Scott, T.G. 1955. An Evaluation of the Red Fox. Natural History Survey Division, Biological Note No. 35. Urbana, IL.

    Google Scholar 

  • Sheldon W.G. 1950. Journal of Wildlife Management 14:33–42. “Denning Habits & Home Range of Red Foxes in New York State.”

    Google Scholar 

  • Sikes. R.K. 1962. Pathogenesis of rabies in wildlife: Comparative effect of varying doses of rabies inoculated into foxes and skunks. American Journal of Veterinary Research 23:1042–1047.

    Google Scholar 

  • Silvert, W. 1993. Object-oriented ecosystem modeling. Ecological Modelling 68:91–118.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Sklar, F.H. and R. Costanza. 1991. The development of dynamic spatial models for landscape ecology, in Quantitative Methods in Landscape Ecology (Turner, M.G. and R. Gardner, eds.). Springer-Verlag, New York, Vol. 82, pp. 239–288.

    Google Scholar 

  • SME. 1999. Spatial Modeling Environment, www.uvm.edu/glee/sme3/.

    Google Scholar 

  • Steck, F. and A. Wandeler. 1980. The epidemiology of fox rabies in Europe. Epidemio-logic Reviews 2:71–96.

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Storm G.L., R.D. Andrews, R.L. Phillips, R.A. Bishop, D.B. Siniff, and J.R. Tester. 1976. Morphology, reproduction, dispersal, and mortality of midwestern red fox populations. Wildlife Monograph 49:1–81.

    Google Scholar 

  • Trame, A., Harper, S.J., Aycrigg, J., and Westervelt, J. 1997. The Fort Hood Avian Simulation Model: A Dynamic Model of Ecological Influences on Two Endangered Species. Report No. 97/88. U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Champaign, IL.

    Google Scholar 

  • Trewhella W.J., S. Harris, and F.E. McAllister. 1988. Dispersal distance, home-range size and population density in the red fox (Vulpes vulpes): A quantitative analysis. Journal of Applied Ecology 25:423–434.

    Google Scholar 

  • West, G.P. 1973. Rabies in Man and Animals. Arco, New York.

    Google Scholar 

  • Westervelt, J.D., Hannon, B.M. Sheikh, P., Cheng, A., Rubin, C, Dvorak, B., Nugtern, A., Gildensoph, L., Mitasova, H., Lambert, E., Iverson, L., Pabich, K., Shapiro, M. 1995. Dynamic, Spatial, Ecological Modeling: A Demonstrated Simulation of the Sage Grouse Habitat at the Yakima Training Center. Report No. TR-95/18. U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Champaign, IL.

    Google Scholar 

  • Westervelt, J.D., Hannon, B.M., Levi, S., Harper, S.J. 1997. A Dynamic Simulation Model of the Desert Tortoise (Gopherus agassizii) Habitat in the Central Mojave Desert. Report No. 97/102. U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Champaign, IL.

    Google Scholar 

  • White Piran C.L., S. Harris, and G.C. Smith. 1995. Fox contact behavior and rabies spread: A model for the estimation of contact probabilities between urban foxes at different population densities and its implications for rabies control in britain. Journal of Applied Ecology 32:693–706.

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Authors
  1. Brian Deal
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  2. Cheryl Farello
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  3. Mary Lancaster
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  4. Thomas Kompare
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  5. Bruce Hannon
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

  1. Gund Institute of Ecological Economics, University of Vermont, Burlington, VT, 05405-1708, USA

    Robert Costanza  & Alexey Voinov  & 

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2004 Springer-Verlag New York, Inc.

About this chapter

Cite this chapter

Deal, B., Farello, C., Lancaster, M., Kompare, T., Hannon, B. (2004). A Dynamic Model of the Spatial Spread of an Infectious Disease: The Case of Fox Rabies in Illinois. In: Costanza, R., Voinov, A. (eds) Landscape Simulation Modeling. Modeling Dynamic Systems. Springer, New York, NY. https://doi.org/10.1007/0-387-21555-7_11

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/0-387-21555-7_11

  • Publisher Name: Springer, New York, NY

  • Print ISBN: 978-0-387-00835-6

  • Online ISBN: 978-0-387-21555-6

  • eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive

Publish with us

Policies and ethics

Search

Navigation