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Epilogue: Scientific Advice in the World of Power Politics

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Climate Change: An Integrated Perspective

Part of the book series: Advances in Global Change Research ((AGLO,volume 1))

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Abstract

The book so far has explained why a vague commitment to prevent climate change, made in 1992, led, in 1997, to the signing of the Kyoto Protocol (see Chapter 9). As amended there, Annex I countries — that is OECD (Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development) member states and countries labelled as ‘economies in transition’, are to reduce their net emissions of six greenhouse gases (GHGs), converted to carbon dioxide equivalents, by differentiated amounts between 2008 and 2012. This scientifically impossible conversion to equivalents is estimated to cut carbon dioxide emissions by a global average of 5.2% of below 1990 levels by 2012. For the treaty to come into force, however, at least 55 governments must have ratified whose 1990 emissions amount to 55% of the world total. Ratification is therefore by no means assured.

Every need to which reality denies satisfaction compels to belief.’

J. W. von Goethe, 1809i

Ministries are reporting that they are increasingly overwhelmed by the enormity of the implications of the Kyoto Protocol’

Reported from Bonn CoP meeting, 1998.

...the future of the democratic process is being shaped in risk-management decisions.

Slovic and Fischhoff, 1983.

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© 1999 Kluwer Academic Publishers

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Boehmer-Christiansen, S., von Goethe, J.W. (1999). Epilogue: Scientific Advice in the World of Power Politics. In: Martens, P., Rotmans, J., Jansen, D., Vrieze, K. (eds) Climate Change: An Integrated Perspective. Advances in Global Change Research, vol 1. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/0-306-47982-6_10

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/0-306-47982-6_10

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Dordrecht

  • Print ISBN: 978-90-481-5331-2

  • Online ISBN: 978-0-306-47982-3

  • eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive

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