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Non-cooperative Differential Game Model of Oil Market with Looking Forward Approach

  • Ovanes Petrosian
  • Maria Nastych
  • Dmitrii Volf
Chapter
Part of the Static & Dynamic Game Theory: Foundations & Applications book series (SDGTFA)

Abstract

The paper applies Looking Forward Approach to analyze the world oil market with the framework of a differential game model of quantity competition oligopoly. Namely Looking Forward Approach is used to take into account dynamically updating information. Under the information we understand the forecast of the oil demand dynamics. We focus on the period from December 2015 to November 2016 and suppose that during this time interval countries did not cooperate officially on the amounts of oil to be produced. Therefore, their behavior can be modeled using the non-cooperative game model. As a solution concept for this conflict-controlled process we use feedback Nash equilibrium. In order to define the parameters of model open source data is used, results of numerical simulations and comparison with the historical data are presented.

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Copyright information

© Springer International Publishing AG, part of Springer Nature 2018

Authors and Affiliations

  • Ovanes Petrosian
    • 1
  • Maria Nastych
    • 2
  • Dmitrii Volf
    • 1
  1. 1.Saint Petersburg State UniversitySaint PetersburgRussia
  2. 2.National Research University Higher School of EconomicsSaint PetersburgRussia

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