Probabilistic Assessment of the Organization of Tournaments and Examinations Using Paired Comparisons

  • Margarita A. ZaevaEmail author
  • Alexander A. Akhremenkov
  • Anatoly M. Tsirlin
Conference paper
Part of the Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing book series (AISC, volume 636)


In this paper a criteria of comparison different tournament organization systems in sporting contests is offered, the criteria uses a probability of winning the fairly strongest player. Two probabilistic models have been analyzed. Calculating formulas for estimating of that probability and probability density of score points by one or another player were obtained. Gotten results also provide an order of objects presenting to experts in organization of examination by paired comparison. An analytical estimation of probability of tournament results (or pared comparison) was obtained, it allows in many cases to avoid of time-consuming procedure of sorting out of possible variants.


Tournament organization Probability Paired comparison 



This work was supported by Competitiveness Growth Program of the Federal Autonomous Educational Institution of Higher Professional Education National Research Nuclear University MEPhI (Moscow Engineering Physics Institute).


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Copyright information

© Springer International Publishing AG 2018

Authors and Affiliations

  • Margarita A. Zaeva
    • 1
    Email author
  • Alexander A. Akhremenkov
    • 2
  • Anatoly M. Tsirlin
    • 2
  1. 1.National Research Nuclear University MEPhI (Moscow Engineering Physics Institute)MoscowRussian Federation
  2. 2.Program Systems Institute of RASVeskovo JaroslavskoyRussian Federation

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