The Information Technology of Multi-model Forecasting of the Regional Comprehensive Security
The paper focuses on forecasting of the state of the regional comprehensive security by using of multi-model complexes. The informational technology for forecasting of such security based on simulation is proposed. Particular attention is paid the formal description of comprehensive security by using of the theory of matrices and graphs. Computer models designed by using of agent-based modeling and system dynamics method were developed in this study. The results of computer simulation can be considered as analytical information for decision-making in the field of comprehensive security of regional socio-economic and nature-technical systems.
KeywordsAgent-based modeling System dynamics Regional comprehensive security
- 1.Zaplatinsky, V.M.: Terminology of science of safety. In: Zbornik prispevkov z medzinarodnej vedeckej konferencie “Bezhecnostna veda a bezpecnostne vzdelanie” (Liptovsky Mikulas: AOS v Liptovskom Mikulasi, 2006) (CD-ROM) (2006)Google Scholar
- 2.Svami, M., Tkhulasiraman, K.: Grafs, Netwoks and Algorithms, 454p. Mir, Moscow (1984)Google Scholar
- 3.Novikova, I.V., Krasnikov, N.I.: Indicators of economic security of a region. Tomsk State Univ. J. 330, 132–138 (2010)Google Scholar
- 4.Glazyev, S.Yu.: The basis of ensuring the economic security of the country: alternative reformation course. Russ. Econ. J. (1), 8–9 (1997)Google Scholar
- 5.Voropai, N.I., Klimenko, S.M., Krivorutskiy, L.D. et al.: The essence and main issues of energy security of Russia. In: Proceedings of the Russian Academy of Sciences. Power Engineering Journal, № 3, pp. 38–49 (1996)Google Scholar
- 6.Kalina, A.V., Savelieva, I.P.: Formation of threshold values of the economic security of Russia and its regions. In: Bulletin of South Ural State University, Series “Economics and Management”, vol. 8, № 4, pp. 15–24 (2014)Google Scholar
Open Access This chapter is licensed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 2.5 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/2.5/), which permits any noncommercial use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license and indicate if changes were made.
The images or other third party material in this chapter are included in the chapter's Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the chapter's Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder.