On Chinese Online P2P Lender’s Model Building on the Macro, Micro and Industry Level
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Only in a few years, P2P lending prospered in China, with the annual growth rate over 300 %. But in China, the extension and innovation of P2P industry is not mature yet. Especially, there is little innovation attempting from the lender-side. This paper studies on the macro, industry and micro level to investigate the Chinese lender’s preference and its causes and try to dig out the opportunities in the market. On this basis, this paper gives out a typical lender’s model in P2P in China. The results are worthwhile for related practitioners to innovate new financing products for lenders in China.
KeywordsChinese online P2P Lender-side Macro level Micro level Industry level
1.1 Online P2P’s Origin and Current Situation
P2P (peer-to-peer) lending is a kind of individual debit and credit behavior besides the governmental financial organizations or systems. With the development of internet and the matureness of credit situation, the linkage of internet makes numerous borrowers and lenders break the offline limits of area and community of acquaintance. The scope of peer-to-peer debtor-creditor relationship largely expanded, coming up with the online credit platforms.
Since 2005, represented by Zopa, Lending Club, Prosper, P2P lending marketplace has grown up in the Occident, followed with the whole industry’s upsurge in the world. P2P online credit platform develops rapidly in the Occident while is still at its initial stage in Europe and Asia.
1.2 P2P in China
In May 2006, CreditEase was established, entering the P2P industry from the angle of petty loan. In August 2007, the first real online P2P platform PaiPaiDai was formed. Since 2011, there came up an influx in the P2P industry, with the amount of platforms and annual trading volume rising up 4–5 times per year. In the aspect of industry volume, online P2P in China has already exceeded the one in UK or US [3, 4].
1.3 Extension and Innovation of P2P Industry
As a peer-to-peer lending model, generally P2P lending includes three stakeholders at least, which are borrower, lender and platform.
The extension and innovation of the P2P lending model are conspicuous. For example, in the US, Lending Club appeared as an app on Facebook social media, in order to achieve information and dig its values. Prosper once tried to use the online auction system to match its lenders and borrowers.
The extension and innovation of P2P industry is not mature yet. Most of the innovating attempts start from the borrower-side or the platform’s turnover itself. There is little innovation attempting from the lender-side.
1.4 Research Necessity
Nowadays, the number of middle class and the rich in China is increasing rapidly. Their demand of managing wealth is becoming stronger and stronger. The contradictory between the product’s homogenization and lender’s strong financing requirements puts the research on lender in the fore. The results are worthwhile for related practitioners to innovate new financing products for lenders in China.
2 Research Methods
2.1 Research Framework
This paper studies on the macro, industry and micro level to investigate the Chinese lender’s preference and its causes.
2.2 Macro Level
Part of Social, Economic, and Technological key events and governmental policies happened or announced around 2014 in China.
From the above key events, it is obvious that China is keeping a positive trend of modern development. Central Bank continues to follow a slack fiscal policy. Chinese economy is steadily increasing, mainly due to the wealth growth from real estate market and the stock market.
According to Boston Consulting Group , Mainland China per capita net worth increase rapidly since 2000, and the number of middle-class has already exceeded 300 million. Financial assets share a high percentage (49 %) of household assets, especially the high savings ratio. As figures from National Development and Reform Committee, China regional economy has shown two positive changes. The one is the Narrowing decline in economic growth in the eastern area. The other is that the central region actively undertakes regional and international industrial transfer on the East Coast area and its fixed-asset investment growth ranks first in all regions.
The appearance of internet indirect financing activities. The traditional indirect banking financing is exerted a negative impact while the mode of online P2P is prospering.
The decrease of information asymmetry of provision and requirement and the weakening of offline financial intermediaries. Moore’s Law and MtM led a high decrease in modern information technology cost.
The decrease of borrower’s credit risks by means of Big Data and new credit analysis system. Take Alibaba as an example, it quantizes the data within its own network (customer purchase data, credit data, distribution data, authentication info, competitive data, etc.), combining with third party organization (such as the Customs, taxation, water and electricity.) to get a model of identification and control standards. The default rate gets lower thanks to the credit analysis of data exchange.
The realization of petty loan and inclusive finance by reducing transaction costs. In the Internet Era, the long tail theory attracts people’s attention. Numerous small markets resemble together to compete with the mainstream market. The loan amount of online credit platform is comparatively small, which is propitious to risk control and is the result of focusing on the financing requirements of small and micro businesses. As to lender, the minimum of online investment amount is smaller than any one of the traditional ways ever.
2.3 Industry Level
Use Google Analytics (GA) to get lender’s page flow on web site.
Use Baidu Fengchao System to observe new lender’s click heatmap of main pages to see which parts attracts new lender more.
Use Optimizely to do A/B testing to eliminate the design causes.
Use Flurry to do collateral testing on mobile app.
Use company raw data to make up for the deficiency.
According to GA, new user’s bounce rate is 54.11 %, while old user’s bounce rate is 23.00 %. The conversion rate is 4.16 % without promotion. The most successful promotion led to a 23 times higher conversion rate.
- 2.According to Baidu Fengchao System:
Compared with old user, potential new user (who register and become lenders later) stay much longer on the home page and About-Us page.
The Leadership Page has the most hits among the information pages, closely following the Partnership Page. New user is more interested in the platform level information such as Platform Operation Mode, Leadership Introduction and News Reports.
The hottest part on the home page is Principal Protection Plan, following the Platform Operation Mode.
- 3.GA shows a most important key-user-flow on the PC Web (shown in the Fig. 3).
- 4.Data from GA and inside the company show lender’s investment distribution in Tables 3 and 4.Table 3.
Total investment amount of different loan product (RMB) from Aug. 2014 to Dec. 2014
Number of notes invested in different loan product from Aug. 2014 to Dec. 2014
Instructions: New-user Group is a kind of product containing a package of loans in Dianrong, which provides a definite annualized return of 7 % and is both principal and interest guaranteed. AB means loans with a safer loan grade with annualized return range from 9.49 % to 13.99 %, usually is principal-guaranteed by a third-party company. CDEF means loans with higher interest rate (14.49 %-23.99 %) but higher risk at the same time.
From above, it is obvious that New-user Group enjoys a swift increasing trend. AB shares a slower increasing trend. CDEF decreases rapidly. Thus, we can come to conclusion that most lenders prioritize security over than higher interest.
Obviously, security factor is more attractive to lender than the interest rate factor.
- 5.Data from Optimizely and Flurry provided lenders’ distribution on client platform (shown in Table 5).Table 5.
Unique Visitors in different client-end from Aug. 2014 to Dec. 2014
Once H5 is released, the number of unique visitors balloons. According to the collateral testing data collected on Flurry, the subsistence users of the mobile app are exponentially higher than these of the PC web. This might attribute to smart phone’s mobility and the convenience of promotion ways, such as pushing notifications accordingly, etc.
2.4 Micro Level
On the micro level, this paper chooses 15 end users, including 5 P2P platform heavy users, 5 users who invest in P2P products and other internet financial products, and 5 users who invest other internet financial products other than P2P products, and separately have one on one deep customer interview on each of them to get the insights of end-users and map them to the model of LOV(List of Values) [6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11] to dig out lender’s terminal values and how they re-influence lender in investigation.
Part of customer interview documentationa
put 20 % salary into investment
put a quarter of salary into investment
depend on promotion
diversify his investments on every platform
put 30 % salary into investment,invest more if there is a promotion, the maximum percentage is 50 %
Three main factors considered when they choose a P2P platform
2. Interest Rate
3. Investment Period
1. Company Authentication
2. Guarantee System
1. Principal Guarantee Plan
2. Platform Operation Mode
3. Loan Details
1. Company Reliability
2. Loan Details
2. Interest Rate
3. Payment Reliability
Interview Process. Each interview involves 1 host(author), 1 note-taker, and 1 interviewee, and is taken in a ordinary café. The interview process includes Welcome Interviewee, Collect Demographics, Tell a story(Let interviewee imagine that he/she has some spare money and think what he/she will do with it.); Demo Financing Products(three typical consumer-oriented financing products on www.yooli.com is shown to interviewee, which contain of normal P2P loans, products containing a package of loans, and money fund products), Simulate a Fake Investment, Dig Insights, Documentation;
Analysis and Insights. After documentation, elimination of similar factors, comparing the model of LOV (List of Values) , this paper get 45 Attributes, 6 Consequences and 6 Values, listed as follow:
1. Animation Effect; 2. Infographic Illustration; 3. Auditing; 4. Auto-investment Products; 5. Bank Card Binding; 6. Charging Fees; 7. Company Brand; 8. Company News; 9. Company Performance; 10. Company Popularity; 11. Company Reliability; 12. Company Size; 13. Company’s Profit Mode; 14. Compensation System; 15. CRM; 16. FAQ List; 17. Friend’s Reference; 18. Principal Protection Plan; 19. Highness of Loan Risk; 20. Interest Calculation Method; 21. Interest Rate; 22. Investment Period; 23. Investment Strategy; 24. Liquidity; 25. Loan Amount; 26. Loan Description/Details; 27. Loan Period; 28. Loan Verification; 29. Minimum Investment Amount; 30. New User Tutorial; 31. Company Office Address; 32. Package Investment Products; 33. Payment Reliability; 34. Platform Operation Mode; 35. Policies and Regulations; 36. Principal Guarantee Plan; 37. Promotion; 38. Repayment Method; 39. Repayment Process; 40. Risk Control; 41. Risk Model; 42. Capital Security; 43. Third-party Guarantee; 44. Third-party Payment Channel; 45. Withdraw Time.
46. Easy to Operate; 47. Easy to Understand; 48. Increase of Efficiency; 49. Money-Saving; 50. Creativity; 51. Superiority; 52. Increase of Wealth
53. Self-repect; 54. Being Respected; 55. Self-fulfillment; 56. Security; 57. Fun and Enjoyment of Life; 58. Excitement; 59. Sense of Accomplishment
Then map the factors to the model of LOV via the Means-End Chain methods. During the one on one interview, author try to get how the interviewees meet their self-value via P2P products’ attributes. After the interview, author use means-end- method to get the hierarchical value map (HVM) to illustrator these relationships.
3 Conclusions and Suggestions
This paper studies on the macro, industry and micro level to investigate the Chinese lender’s preference and its causes. On this basis, this paper gives out a typical lender’s model in P2P in China. On the macro level, it comes with inspirations of creating breakthrough products by means of the SET Factors. On the industry level, it turns out obvious preferences and trends of lenders when they do some investment. On the micro level, it finds lender’s concerns and deep values. Based on the above results, P2P product strategy maker can refer to the results above to map out the product strategy for lender, including choosing the target market, positioning the final customers, designing a appropriate products for them, etc.
Now Chinese government begins to pay attentions to the P2P industry and released 10 regulatory principles on April 2015. It is believed that some related industrial regulatory polices will be introduced soon. On the macro level, researchers should keep a close eye on these industrial polices constantly.
On the industry level, this paper only uses one platform as an example, which may not highly cover all kinds of P2P companies in China. For further studies, researchers should choose more platforms and more influential companies as research samples.
On the micro level, how to transfer this paper’s research results into new products innovation and contribute to higher conversion rate is also worth of study.
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