Nuclear Ban Treaty: Sand or Grease for the NPT?
This chapter analyses whether the Nuclear Ban Treaty provides sand or grease for the NPT review process. The chapter does so in three steps: firstly by looking at the membership of the Nuclear Ban Treaty and its potential to bridge existing divides within the NPT. Secondly, the chapter looks at how the Ban Treaty played out in the Preparatory Committees for the 2020 NPT Review Conference. Thirdly, the chapter will look at the likely short-term future scenarios for the Ban Treaty, and the likelihood and impact of its entry into force.
KeywordsTreaty on prohibition of nuclear weapons Non-proliferation treaty Review process Network analysis Ratification
This chapter draws on remarks delivered at the UCSIA workshop ‘Non-nuclear peace’ in Antwerp, and at the European Initiative on Security Studies conference in Paris (2018). Some of the thoughts that underpin this chapter were presented in a policy brief written for Peace Research Center Prague (Onderco 2018). I am thankful to the editors, as well as to Målfrid Braut-Hegghammer, Rebecca Davis Gibbons, Harald Müller, and Michal Smetana for their thoughtful comments. I thankfully acknowledge funding by the Charles University Research Centre programme UNCE/HUM/028 (Peace Research Center Prague/Faculty of Social Sciences). Ashley-Richard Longman proofread the chapter with much care. All data is accurate as of December 2018.
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