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Modeling the Impact of Enterprise Bankruptcy on Unemployment Rate

  • R. Z. Vakhitova
  • N. G. Vishnevskaya
  • O. V. AleshkinaEmail author
Conference paper
Part of the Smart Innovation, Systems and Technologies book series (SIST, volume 139)

Abstract

In the conditions of economic instability, characteristic both for modern Russia, and for the majority of the countries of the world, the questions reflecting the changes that occur in the labor market as a result of bankruptcy of the enterprises are actual and interesting for research. Macroeconomic shocks lead to crisis conditions of individual firms inevitably, that, in its turn, causes negative phenomena in the labour market. The purpose of this article is to study the impact of bankruptcy on the unemployment rate in the country. Some data of the Federal state statistics service of the Russian Federation and the center for macroeconomic analysis and short-term forecasting, and the results of sociological surveys are the empirical basis of the study. Based on the available data, a linear model of the dependence of the unemployment rate on the number of bankrupt organizations is constructed. The practical significance of the study lies in the possibility of forecasting the situation on the labor market at the federal and regional levels with the help of the presented model.

Keywords

Modeling Linear model Macroeconomic analysis Bankruptcy Unemployment rate 

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Copyright information

© Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2019

Authors and Affiliations

  • R. Z. Vakhitova
    • 1
  • N. G. Vishnevskaya
    • 1
  • O. V. Aleshkina
    • 1
    Email author
  1. 1.Bashkir State UniversityUfaRussian Federation

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