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Load and Price Forecasting in Smart Grids Using Enhanced Support Vector Machine

  • Ammara Nayab
  • Tehreem Ashfaq
  • Syeda Aimal
  • Aimen Rasool
  • Nadeem JavaidEmail author
  • Zahoor Ali Khan
Conference paper
Part of the Lecture Notes on Data Engineering and Communications Technologies book series (LNDECT, volume 29)

Abstract

In this paper, an enhanced model for electricity load and price forecasting is proposed. This model consists of feature engineering and classification. Feature engineering consists of feature selection and extraction. For feature selection a hybrid feature selector is used which consists of Decision Tree (DT) and Recursive Feature Elimination (RFE) to remove redundancy. Furthermore, Singular Value Decomposition (SVD) is used for feature extraction to reduce the dimensionality of features. To forecast load and price, two classifiers Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD) and Support Vector Machine (SVM) is used and for better accuracy an enhanced framework of SVM is proposed. Dataset is taken from NYISO and month wise forecasting is being conducted by proposed classifiers. To evaluate performance RMSE, MAPE, MAE, MSE is used.

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Copyright information

© Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2019

Authors and Affiliations

  • Ammara Nayab
    • 1
  • Tehreem Ashfaq
    • 1
  • Syeda Aimal
    • 1
  • Aimen Rasool
    • 1
  • Nadeem Javaid
    • 1
    Email author
  • Zahoor Ali Khan
    • 2
  1. 1.COMSATS University IslamabadIslamabadPakistan
  2. 2.Computer Information ScienceHigher College of TechnologyFujarahUAE

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