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Predicting the Length of Hospital Stay After Surgery for Perforated Peptic Ulcer

  • José MachadoEmail author
  • Ana Catarina Cardoso
  • Inês Gomes
  • Inês Silva
  • Vítor Lopes
  • Hugo Peixoto
  • António Abelha
Conference paper
Part of the Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing book series (AISC, volume 918)

Abstract

The management of peptic ulcer disease usually implies an urgent surgical procedure with the need of a patient’s hospital admission. By predicting the length of hospital stay of patients, improvements can be made regarding the quality of services provided to patients. This paper focuses on using real data to identify patterns in patients’ profiles and surgical events, in order to predict if patients will need hospital care for a shorter or longer period of time. This goal is pursued using a Data Mining process which follows the CRISP-DM methodology. In particular, classification models are built by combining different scenarios, algorithms and sampling methods. The data mining model which performed best achieved an accuracy of 87.30%, a specificity of 89.40%, and a sensitivity of 81.30%, using JRip, a rule-based algorithm and Cross Validation as a sampling method.

Keywords

Perforated peptic ulcer Length of hospital stay Data mining CRISP-DM Classification Decision Support Systems 

Notes

Acknowledgments

This work has been supported by Compete: POCI-01-0145-FEDER-007043 and FCT within the Project Scope UID/CEC/00319/2013.

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Copyright information

© Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2019

Authors and Affiliations

  • José Machado
    • 1
    Email author
  • Ana Catarina Cardoso
    • 2
  • Inês Gomes
    • 2
  • Inês Silva
    • 2
  • Vítor Lopes
    • 3
  • Hugo Peixoto
    • 1
  • António Abelha
    • 1
  1. 1.Algoritmi Research CenterUniversity of MinhoBragaPortugal
  2. 2.University of MinhoBragaPortugal
  3. 3.Centro Hospitalar do Tâmega e SousaPenafielPortugal

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