Spatiotemporal Precipitation Variability Modeling in the Blue Nile Basin: 1998–2016

  • Yasmine M. AbdelfattahEmail author
  • Abdel H. El-Shaarawi
  • Hala Abou-Ali
Conference paper


Ethiopian precipitation is the main source of water that runs through the Nile. Little is known about the decline in Blue Nile basin (BNB) precipitation. The finding reveals seasonal imbalance due to shift in Belg and Bega seasons. Results provides a new evidence on the relationship between BNB precipitation and natural forcing besides human-induced climate change.


Blue Nile basin Precipitation El Niño-Southern Oscillation Empirical orthogonal function Dynamic harmonic regression Anthropogenic signals 



We would like to express our gratitude to guest editors Michela Cameletti and Francesco Finazzi and two anonymous reviewers for critically reviewing the manuscript and offering useful comments. Special thanks go to John Paul Dunne, Jen Schmidt, Dina Rabie and Rahma Ali for their remarks, support, technical support and review of former drafts.


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Copyright information

© Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2018

Authors and Affiliations

  • Yasmine M. Abdelfattah
    • 1
    Email author
  • Abdel H. El-Shaarawi
    • 2
    • 3
  • Hala Abou-Ali
    • 4
  1. 1.The British University in EgyptCairoEgypt
  2. 2.Canadian National Water Research InstituteBurlingtonCanada
  3. 3.Cairo UniversityGizaEgypt
  4. 4.Cairo University and Economic Research Forum (ERF)GizaEgypt

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