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Global Climate Change and Environmental Policy pp 147–205Cite as

Managing Climate Risk in a Major Coffee-Growing Region of Indonesia

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Abstract

Indonesia is currently one of the top four coffee exporting countries in the world. Climate change is projected to cause significant impacts on coffee. Without proper adaptation measures, this will significantly lower the productions. Changes in rainfall and increases in temperature will affect the phenological development that would eventually influence yield and quality of crop including the potential risks of pest and disease attacks. Assessment in Toba, a major coffee-growing region of Indonesia, indicated that in the middle of this century (the 2050s), under climate scenarios of RCP4.5 and RCP8.5, suitable areas for coffee production would decrease significantly. The average yield is projected to decrease between 25% and 75% of the current yield. However, the highlands that are currently not suitable for coffee (>1500 m above mean sea level) is projected to become suitable with a higher yield than the current. A significant increase in rainfall during the rainy season and prolonged dry season will also affect coffee phenological development. It will shift the peak of coffee flowering and harvesting seasons in Toba. The severity of the coffee berry borer Hypothenemus hampei (Ferrari) attack will also increase in the future. The current crop management farming practices should be adjusted and improved to adapt to such change.

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Acknowledgements

We thank for the financial support provided by Rainforest Alliance-UTZ. We also extend our gratitude for BITRA that provided support in conducting survey.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Center for Climate Risk and Opportunity Management in Southeast Asia and Pacific, Bogor Agricultural University, Bogor, Indonesia

    Rizaldi Boer, Syamsu Dwi Jadmiko, Muhammad Ardiansyah, Dewi Sulistyowati & Anter Parulian Situmorang

  2. Department of Geophysics and Meteorology, Faculty of Mathematic and Natural Sciences, Bogor Agricultural University, Bogor, Indonesia

    Rizaldi Boer

  3. Department of Crop Protection, Faculty of Agriculture, Bogor Agricultural University, Bogor, Indonesia

    Purnama Hidayat

  4. Department of Agronomy and Horticulture, Faculty of Agriculture, Bogor Agricultural University, Bogor, Indonesia

    Ade Wachjar

  5. Department of Soil Science and Land Resources, Faculty of Agriculture, Bogor Agricultural University, Bogor, Indonesia

    Muhammad Ardiansyah

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  1. Rizaldi Boer
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  2. Syamsu Dwi Jadmiko
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Editors and Affiliations

  1. School of Interdisciplinary and Transdisciplinary Studies, Indira Gandhi National Open University, New Delhi, Delhi, India

    V. Venkatramanan

  2. School of Interdisciplinary and Transdisciplinary Studies, Indira Gandhi National Open University, New Delhi, Delhi, India

    Shachi Shah

  3. School of Environmental Science & Engineering, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China

    Ram Prasad

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Boer, R. et al. (2020). Managing Climate Risk in a Major Coffee-Growing Region of Indonesia. In: Venkatramanan, V., Shah, S., Prasad, R. (eds) Global Climate Change and Environmental Policy. Springer, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-13-9570-3_5

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