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Developments in International Trade Theory and Gravity Modelling

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Theorizing International Trade

Abstract

This chapter discusses advances in international trade theory and gravity modeling with an explanation of the reasons behind gains from trade. The changing pattern of trade over time has also changed the explanation of the emergence of gains from trade, which provides room for new trade theories. Initial theories of trade, known as traditional trade theories, explain the pattern of trade in terms of comparative advantage. But with the passage of time, the emergence of trade in intermediates and services has provided new reasons for trade and hence has led to the advent of new trade theories. This chapter will explain the different reasons behind international trade.

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Notes

  1. 1.

    The HO theorem states that a country will produce and export that commodity that intensively uses the relatively abundant factor.

  2. 2.

    According to the Stolper–Samuelson theorem , an increase in the relative price of one of the two goods will increase the real return to the factor that is used intensively for the production of the good that experiences a price increase.

  3. 3.

    The Rybczynski theorem states that keeping the prices of goods constant, an increase in the endowment of one factor of production will increase the production of that commodity proportionately more than the one that uses the factor intensively.

  4. 4.

    According to the factor price equalization theorem , under certain conditions the free trade of commodities will result in complete international equalization of the prices of the factors of production.

  5. 5.

    See the Appendix.

  6. 6.

    https://www.wto.org/english/res_e/booksp_e/anrep_e/world_trade_report08_e.pdf

  7. 7.

    γ firm heterogeneity of firms in a particular sector, where high γ means firms are more homogeneous (less heterogeneous) and vice versa.

  8. 8.

    Shepherd, B. (2013). “The Gravity Model of International Trade: A User Guide.” ARTNeT. New York: United Nations Publication. Available at: http://www.unescap.org/sites/default/files/full-report-gravity-model-2013.pdf

  9. 9.

    See Eq. (2.13) of Anderson and Wincoop (2003).

  10. 10.

    For Details, refer to the Dixit Stiglitz (1977) model.

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Appendix

Appendix

We have the utility function:

$$ {\left[\sum \limits_{i=1}^N{c}_i^{\rho}\right]}^{\left(1/\rho \right)} $$

This utility should be maximized subject to the income constraint:

$$ I=\sum \limits_{i=1}^N{p}_i{c}_i $$

Now, we have Langragian (ℒ) with multiplier (λ):

$$ \mathrm{\mathcal{L}}={\left[\sum \limits_{i=1}^N{c}_i^{\rho}\right]}^{\left(1/\rho \right)}+\lambda \left[I-\sum \limits_{i=1}^N{p}_i{c}_i\right] $$

Differentiating ℒ with respect to c j and equating it to zero gives us

$$ {\left[\sum \limits_{i=1}^N{c}_i^r\right]}^{\left(1/r\right)-1}{c}_j^{r-1}=\lambda {p}_j\kern3.75em \mathrm{for}\ j=1,2,\dots, N $$

Take the ratio of these first-order conditions with respect to variety 1, and define ε = 1/(1 − ρ) as discussed in the main text. Then:

$$ \frac{{\left[{\sum}_{i=1}^N{c}_i^{\rho}\right]}^{\left(1/\rho \right)-1}{c}_j^{\rho -1}}{{\left[{\sum}_{i=1}^N{c}_i^{\rho}\right]}^{\left(1/\rho \right)-1}{c}_1^{\rho -1}}=\frac{\lambda {p}_j}{\lambda {p}_1} $$
$$ \frac{c_j^{\rho -1}}{c_1^{\rho -1}}=\frac{p_j}{p_1} $$
$$ {c}_j^{\rho -1}={p}_j{\left({p}_1\right)}^{-1}{c}_1^{1-\rho } $$
$$ {c}_j={p_j}^{\left(\rho -1\right)}{\left({p}_1\right)}^{-1\left(\rho -1\right)}{c}_1^{\frac{\rho -1}{\left(\rho -1\right)}} $$
$$ {c}_j={p_j}^{-\left(1-\rho \right)}{\left({p}_1\right)}^{\left(1-\rho \right)}{c}_1^1\kern1.75em or\kern1.25em {c}_j={p_j}^{-\varepsilon }{p_1}^{\varepsilon }{c}_1 $$

Substituting these relations in the budget equation gives:

$$ I=\sum \limits_{i=1}^N{p}_j{c}_j\kern0.75em \Rightarrow \kern0.5em I=\sum \limits_{i=1}^N{p}_j{p_j}^{-\varepsilon }{p_1}^{\varepsilon }{c}_1\kern0.5em \Rightarrow \kern0.5em I={p_1}^{\varepsilon }{c}_1\sum \limits_{i=1}^N{p_j}^{1-\varepsilon } $$
$$ I={p_1}^{\varepsilon }{c}_1{P}^{1-\varepsilon}\kern1em or\kern1em {c}_1={Ip_1}^{-\varepsilon }{P}^{\varepsilon -1} $$
$$ P\equiv {\left[\sum \limits_{i=1}^N{p_j}^{1-\varepsilon}\right]}^{\frac{1}{\left(1-\varepsilon \right)}} $$

In the above equation, c 1 represents the demand for variety 1. Similarly, we can derive the demand for other varieties. To answer the question of why we defined a P type of price index in the above equation, we need to substitute the derived demand for all the varieties in the utility function along with: \( \varepsilon =1/\left(1-\rho \right)\kern0.75em \Rightarrow \kern0.75em 1-\varepsilon =-\varepsilon \rho \kern0.75em \Rightarrow \kern1em \frac{1-\varepsilon }{\varepsilon }-=\rho \kern0.5em \Rightarrow \kern0.75em \frac{1}{\rho }=-\frac{\varepsilon }{1-\varepsilon } \)

$$ U={\left(\sum \limits_{i=1}^N{c}_i^{\rho}\right)}^{1/\rho }={\left(\sum \limits_{i=1}^N{\left({Ip_i}^{-\varepsilon }{P}^{\varepsilon -1}\right)}^{\rho}\right)}^{1/\rho } $$
$$ ={IP}^{\varepsilon -1}{\left(\sum \limits_{i=1}^N{p_i}^{-\varepsilon \rho}\right)}^{1/\rho }={IP}^{\varepsilon -1}{\left(\sum \limits_{i=1}^N{p_i}^{1-\varepsilon}\right)}^{-\frac{\varepsilon }{1-\varepsilon }} $$

Using the price index againFootnote 10;

$$ U={IP}^{\varepsilon -1}{\left({P}^{1-\varepsilon}\right)}^{-\frac{\varepsilon }{1-\varepsilon }}={IP}^{\varepsilon -1}{P}^{-\varepsilon }={IP}^{-1} $$
$$ U=\frac{I}{P} $$

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Mathur, S.K., Arora, R., Singh, S., Roy, A. (2017). Developments in International Trade Theory and Gravity Modelling. In: Mathur, S., Arora, R., Singh, S. (eds) Theorizing International Trade. Palgrave Macmillan, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-10-1759-9_2

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