Abstract
Unique abilities in how human beings communicate, process information, avoid danger, form groups, and collectively come together in support of a common cause all likely contributed to our species’ survival. As investors, however, we are left with legacies from our ancestors that served them well as tribal hunters and gatherers but can inhibit our ability to make sound investment choices. Oyster shares a classification system for cognitive biases developed by Buster Benson then discusses how some important biases can detract from investment performance. He also shares how the assumptions that support certain economic models appear more appropriate when viewed through the lens of behavioral finance.
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Notes
- 1.
Yuval Noah Harari, 2015. Sapiens, A Brief History of Humankind, Harper Collins Publishers, 195 Broadway, New York, NY 10007. 8–9.
- 2.
Yuval Noah Harari, 2015. Sapiens, A Brief History of Humankind, Harper Collins Publishers, 195 Broadway, New York, NY 10007. 8.
- 3.
Buster Benson, BetterHumans.coach.me, “Cognitive bias cheat sheet,” September 1, 2016.
- 4.
Ibid.
- 5.
“Avoid Parkinson’s Bicycle Shed Effect,” Wikipedia.com. edited June 16, 2016.
- 6.
Markowitz, H.M. (March 1952), “Portfolio Selection”, The Journal of Finance, 7 (1): 77–91.
- 7.
Amos Tversky, “The Psychology of Risk,” Quantifying the Market Risk Premium Phenomenon for Investment Decision Making (Association for Investment Management and Research [AIMR] Conference Proceedings, 1990), 73–77.
- 8.
Arnold S. Wood, “Behavioral Risk: Anecdotes and Disturbing Evidence,” in Investing Worldwide IV: February 21–23, 1993, Pasadena, California (Association for Investment Management and Research [AIMR], 1993), 76.
- 9.
Ibid.
- 10.
Daniel Chen, Tobias J. Moskowitz, Kelly Shue, “Decision-Making under the Gambler’s Fallacy: Evidence from Asylum Judges, Loan Officers, and Baseball Umpires,” September 17, 2015.
- 11.
Arnold S. Wood, “Behavioral Risk: Anecdotes and Disturbing Evidence,” in Investing Worldwide IV: February 21–23, 1993, Pasadena, California (Association for Investment Management and Research [AIMR], 1993), 77–78.
- 12.
Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky, “Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision Under Risk,” Econometrica, Volume 47, Number 2, March, 1979. 263.
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Oyster, M.J. (2018). To Err Is to Be Human. To Make a Behavioral Error Is to Be a Human Investor. In: Success in a Low-Return World. Palgrave Macmillan, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-99855-8_6
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-99855-8_6
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