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Ethnic Divisions? Types of Boundaries and the Temporality of Change in Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland

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Part of the book series: Palgrave Studies in Compromise after Conflict ((PSCAC))

Abstract

This chapter shows the changing ways in which religious and national distinctions were embedded in social structure and institutions in Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland over the last century; how far this was echoed in public practices and attitudes; and how, when and by which groups this was challenged and changed. Using aggregate data for the last 50 years it shows the different temporalities of change in each jurisdiction: threshold-like change in the Irish state, and cyclical fluctuation between polarization and permeability in Northern Ireland. It traces the changing proportions within each divided group who want change in group boundaries (‘changers’), who resist it (‘die-hards’) and who are undecided (‘swayers’). Thus it sketches the social baseline from which identity change occurred in the 2000s.

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Notes

  1. 1.

    JM1BCD01.

  2. 2.

    JM2BCC02.

  3. 3.

    NF1FWP01.

  4. 4.

    JF1FPC01.

  5. 5.

    This was also true in other parts of the country, see Ruane and Butler 2007.

  6. 6.

    LM2FPC02.

  7. 7.

    JF1FPC01.

  8. 8.

    Groupness (a term coined by Brubaker 2002, and developed by Lamont et al. 2016) encompasses the full spectrum from relatively open and thin groups with permeable boundaries to fully polarized, solidaristic groups with shared aims and assumptions and clear enemies, and every possible combination in between.

  9. 9.

    For analysis of the sequence of nationalist political mobilization, at once peripheral protest against British policies and power which kept most of Ireland as a producer of low value agricultural goods and a predominantly Catholic-based protest against remaining horizontal inequalities, Garvin 1981, is still the best single volume.

  10. 10.

    For the wide range of political repertoires available within unionism, see Boyce and O’Day 2001, and for some of the innovative directions of Protestant and unionist thinking see King 2001; Gailey 2001; Loughlin 1985.

  11. 11.

    After 1973 membership of the EU was an incentive for US foreign direct investment, which balanced Irish economic dependence on the UK, which in turn came to see Ireland as an ally in some EU negotiations. See Ruane 2010 and O Riain 2014.

  12. 12.

    There are difficulties of categorization including estimating the proportion of ‘others’, which for earlier years includes very high proportions of other Protestant denominations (the percentage of Jews is tiny, 0.1 of the population in the Republic in 1926). See Jardine 1994. Vaughan and Fitzpatrick 1978. By the 2000s, in-migration increased the proportion of ‘others’ in the South, although much less so in the North (Hayward and Howard 2007; Hayward 2014).

  13. 13.

    These were documented in the extensive research carried out by the Fair Employment Agency in the 1970s and 1980s, and earlier employment practices and beliefs were recorded by Barritt and Carter 1962, pp. 94–95, 102.

  14. 14.

    See MacBride 1991, pp. 310–311. Bowen 1983, pp. 80–86. There was a clear fall in the percentage of Protestants in the security forces in the South, but this was not a militarized society and these were not key positions. The fall in numbers in the senior civil service was more significant.

  15. 15.

    The classic study of the early period is Buckland 1979.

  16. 16.

    For an overview of the process of equalization see Ruane and Todd 2012, 2014.

  17. 17.

    Since data and survey questions are not always exactly the same over time or between jurisdictions, I give the broad brushstrokes of changing division and the gross contrasts between jurisdictions. For detailed analysis see Fahey et al. 2005; Hayes and McAllister 2013; Morrow et al. 2013.

  18. 18.

    In the 2006 census, only in one border county was the percentage of Church of Ireland respondents married to Roman Catholics less than 40%, and in some counties the figure was over 65%.

  19. 19.

    See Ganiel 2016; Finnas and O’Leary 2003; Butler and Ruane 2009.

  20. 20.

    Nic Giolla Phadraig, 1986; Fahey, 2002; Fahey et al, 2005 36–7; Breen and Reynolds, 2011; and http://www.irishcatholic.ie/article/who-still-goes-mass-ireland-nowadays; https://faithsurvey.co.uk/irish-census.html. In Northern Ireland, surveys conducted by Rose (1971) in 1968, Moxon Browne (1983) in 1978 and Smith and Chambers (1991) in 1986. See also Life and Times surveys 1998–2014, and http://www.ark.ac.uk/sol/surveys/community_relations/time_series/crconstit.htm

  21. 21.

    Abortion was made unconstitutional by referendum in 1983 by a two-thirds majority, and in 1986 63% of the public voted to retain the constitutional ban on divorce. Although divorce was carried in a second referendum in 1995 it was only by 50.28% of those voting. In the 2018 referendum the constitutional ban on abortion was removed by two-thirds of those voting.

  22. 22.

    Fahey et al. 2005, 123; Irish Times July 8, 2016, http://www.irishtimes.com/news/politics/majority-support-repeal-of-eighth-amendment-poll-shows-1.2714191; Irish Times October 7, 2016, http://www.irishtimes.com/news/social-affairs/irish-times-poll-majority-want-repeal-of-eighth-amendment-1.2819814

  23. 23.

    In a seeming paradox, those of ‘no religion’ are by far the most likely to declare many friends not of the same religion: thus in Fig. 3.2 the total percentage of those with many such friends since the early 2000s is significantly higher than the percentage of Protestants + Catholics with many such friends. The changing percentages of Protestants and Catholics with many such friends is a sign of demographic change—in the past, Catholics were likely to be minorities in Protestant neighbourhoods but now Protestants (in the West) are minorities in Catholic neighbourhoods with resultant change in friendship patterns.

  24. 24.

    Compton and Coward 1989, Morgan et al. 1996. On the role of conversion, see Harris 1972.

  25. 25.

    Sources: Rose, 1971, 307; Social Attitudes and Life and Times surveys 1989–2012, see http://www.ark.ac.uk/sol/surveys/community_relations/time_series/CRencycontact.htm, accessed July 22, 2017

  26. 26.

    Northern Ireland Life and Times, Community Relations Module, COMDIV, and PARKOPEN.

  27. 27.

    Hayes and McAllister 2013 (pp. 71–74) Tonge and Gomez 2015. Garry and McNicholl (2015) argue that it functions differently for Protestants (for whom it tends to be a proxy for a British identity) than for Catholics (for whom it tends to be a new identity).

  28. 28.

    Northern Ireland Life and Times Survey, NIRELAND; NIRELAND2; NINATID

  29. 29.

    Identity module, 2007, http://www.ark.ac.uk/nilt/results/identity.html, PCSEP, PCSEPFUT, accessed 24 May 2018.

  30. 30.

    Northern Ireland Life and Times, Identity module, http://www.ark.ac.uk/nilt/results/identity.html, BRITPROT, IRISHCAT, BRPROT2, IRCAT2. Accessed 24 May 2018.

  31. 31.

    O Dochartaigh 2012; Coakley 2009; http://www.rte.ie/news/primetime/2015/1104/739633-prime-time-cross-border-poll-test-page/, accessed 9 January 2017.

  32. 32.

    In 2017 only about 30% of the population were fully committed to the woman’s right to choose, although a year later two thirds voted to repeal the constitutional ban on abortion. http://www.thejournal.ie/abortion-poll-2-3268035-Mar2017/. Accessed 2 October 2017. See also Irish Times survey, 6 October, 2017. On the marriage equality and abortion repeal referenda, see Chap. 9.

  33. 33.

    A survey carried out on behalf of Fortnight magazine in 1988 listed recent atrocities by the British and the IRA and asked if any of them had changed individuals’ support for Sinn Fein (Coopers and Lybrand 1988). Catholics swayed in their support in response to atrocities.

  34. 34.

    Disproportionately young working class men, Morrow et al. 2013, 38, Evans and Tonge 2012.

  35. 35.

    http://www.thejournal.ie/prime-time-irelands-call-2426738-Nov2015/. A full 30% were undecided.

  36. 36.

    Coopers and Lybrand, 1988, Fortnight poll, table 4. Although, showing the complex mix of attitudes, in 1978 nearly 30% of Protestants agreed that a united Ireland achieved through peaceful means was ‘a worthwhile objective’. Moxon Browne 1983, 35.

  37. 37.

    This includes voters for the Alliance party and the Labour party. They were disproportionately professional middle class.

  38. 38.

    Rose, 1971; Coopers and Lybrand, 1988; Northern Ireland Life and Times Survey, FUTURE1

  39. 39.

    The section of the professional middle class and higher managerial strata who had turned away from traditional unionism in the early 1970s had expanded to include more business people, workers in cross-community NGOs, radical evangelicals, and the increasing numbers in mixed marriages (Hayward and Magennis 2014; Mitchell and Ganiel 2011; Smithey 2011).

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Todd, J. (2018). Ethnic Divisions? Types of Boundaries and the Temporality of Change in Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland. In: Identity Change after Conflict. Palgrave Studies in Compromise after Conflict. Palgrave Macmillan, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-98503-9_3

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