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Mediation Modeling: Differing Perspectives on Time Alter Mediation Inferences

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Continuous Time Modeling in the Behavioral and Related Sciences

Abstract

Time is unlike any other variable collected in the social, behavioral, and medical sciences. Research participants who are sampled, and variables that are measured, come in distinct, discrete units. Although time is often recorded in such discrete units (e.g., wave 1, grade 3, day 5), time is markedly different from either participants or variables. Sampling time points is unlike sampling people or variables, as there are an arbitrary number of additional samples that can be collected between any two occasions of measurement. These interstitial samples are ignored by many longitudinal modeling paradigms. These observations that occur between sampling occasions form the basis for the perspectives on mediation explored in this chapter. We focus on the difference in perspectives offered by discrete time approaches commonly utilized in mediation research versus models that conceptualize time as a continuous variable. The differences in how one conceptualizes time have the potential to alter such core mediation concepts as direct and indirect effect, complete and partial mediation, and even what constitutes a “mediation” model.

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Notes

  1. 1.

    In the current continuous time model, the autoeffects (continuous time) typically range from minus infinity to zero, which corresponds to an autoregressive effect (discrete time) of 0-1. The continuous time model specified does not allow for the equivalent of a negative autoregressive effect. When the CLPM is constrained to produce autoeffects between 0 and 1, the −2LL for the constrained CLPM and continuous time model are equivalent to at least three decimal places.

  2. 2.

    The full model parameters are used, as removal of the nonsignificant relations began producing continuous time parameter estimates outside the typically expected range. For example, the social competence continuous time autoeffect became equivalent to a CLPM autoregressive effect greater than 1. This may suggest that the effect of anxiety on social competence may be important to incorporate into the model, although it was not significantly different from zero.

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Correspondence to Pascal R. Deboeck .

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Deboeck, P.R., Preacher, K.J., Cole, D.A. (2018). Mediation Modeling: Differing Perspectives on Time Alter Mediation Inferences. In: van Montfort, K., Oud, J.H.L., Voelkle, M.C. (eds) Continuous Time Modeling in the Behavioral and Related Sciences. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-77219-6_8

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