Abstract
Assessing risk for early childhood caries (ECC) is a relevant task in public health care and an important activity in fulfilling this task is increasing the knowledge about ECC. Discovering important information from data and sharing it in an understandable format with both experts and the general population could be beneficial for advancing and spreading the knowledge about this disease. After having experimented with association rule mining, we investigate the possibility of using decision trees as readable models in risk assessment. We build various decision trees using different algorithms and splitting criteria, favouring compact decision trees with good predictive performance. These decision trees are compared to the previous ECC models for the same analyzed population, namely a logistic regression model and an associative classifier, as well as to decision trees for caries from other studies. The results indicate flexibility and usefulness of decision trees in this context.
References
Ghazal, T., Levy, S.M., Childers, N.K., Broffitt, B., Cutter, G.R., Wiener, H.W., Kempf, M.C., Warren, J., Cavanaugh, J.E.: Factors associated with early childhood caries incidence among high caries-risk children. Commun. Dent. Oral Epidemiol. 43(4), 366–374 (2015)
Corrêa-Faria, P., Martins-Júnior, P.A., Vieira-Andrade, R.G., Marques, L.S., Ramos-Jorge, M.L.: Factors associated with the development of early childhood caries among Brazilian preschoolers. Braz. Oral Res. 27(4), 356–362 (2013)
Tušek, I., Carević, M., Tušek, J.: Prevalence of early childhood caries among members of different ethnic groups in the South Bačka area (in Serbian). Vojnosanit. Pregl. 69(12), 1046–1051 (2012)
Garcia, R., Borrelli, B., Dhar, V., Douglass, J., Ramos Gomez, F., Hieftje, K., Horowitz, A., Li, Y., Ng, M.W., Twetman, S., Tinanoff, N.: Progress in early childhood caries and opportunities in research, policy, and clinical management. Pediatr. Dent. 37(3), 294–299 (2015)
Berkowitz, R.J.: Causes, treatment and prevention of early childhood caries: a microbiologic perspective. J. Can. Dent. Assoc. 69(5), 304–307b (2013)
Ivančević, V., Tušek, I., Tušek, J., Knežević, M., Elheshk, S., Luković, I.: Using association rule mining to identify risk factors for early childhood caries. Comput. Methods Programs Biomed. 122, 175–181 (2015)
Ivančević, V., Knežević, M., Tušek, I., Tušek, J., Luković, I.: Human friendly associative classifiers for early childhood caries. In: 7th KES International Conference on Intelligent Decision Technologies (KES-IDT 2015), pp. 243–253. Springer (2015)
Chen, Y.-L., Hung, L.T.-H.: Using decision trees to summarize associative classification rules. Expert Syst. Appl. 36, 2338–2351 (2009)
Tušek, I.: The Influence of social environment and ethnicity on caries prevalence in the early childhood (in Serbian). Ph.D. thesis, University of Belgrade (2009)
Stewart, P.W., Stamm, J.W.: Classification tree prediction models for dental caries from clinical, microbiological, and interview data. J. Dent. Res. 70(9), 1239–1251 (1991)
Gansky, S.A.: Dental data mining: potential pitfalls and practical issues. Adv. Dent. Res. 17, 109–114 (2003)
Tamaki, Y., Nomura, Y., Katsumura, S., Okada, A., Yamada, H., Tsuge, S., Kadoma, Y., Hanada, N.: Construction of a dental caries prediction model by data mining. J. Oral Sci. 51, 61–68 (2009)
Ito, A., Hayashi, M., Hamasaki, T., Ebisu, S.: Risk assessment of dental caries by using classification and regression trees. J. Dent. 39, 457–463 (2011)
MacRitchie, H.M.B., Longbottom, C., Robertson, M., Nugent, Z., Chan, K., Radford, J.R., Pitts, N.B.: Development of the Dundee Caries Risk Assessment Model (DCRAM)—risk model development using a novel application of CHAID analysis. Commun. Dent. Oral Epidemiol. 40, 37–45 (2012)
Li, H.F.: Data mining and pattern discovery using exploratory and visualization methods for large multidimensional datasets. Ph.D. thesis, University of Kentucky (2013)
Breiman, L., Friedman, J.H., Olshen, R.A., Stone, C.J.: Classification and Regression Trees. Wadsworth, Belmont CA (1984)
Kuhn, M., Johnson, K.: Applied Predictive Modeling. Springer (2013)
Kass, G.V.: An exploratory technique for investigating large quantities of categorical data. Appl. Stat. 29(2), 119–127 (1980)
Säuberlich, F., Gaul, W.: Decision tree construction by association rules. In: 23rd Annual Conference of the Gesellschaft für Klassifikation, pp. 245–253. Springer (2000)
Wang, K., Zhou, S., He, Y.: Growing decision trees on support-less association rules. In: 6th ACM SIGKDD International Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining (KDD’00), pp. 265–269. ACM (2000)
Abdekhalim, A., Traore, I., Sayed, B.: RBDT-1: a new rule-based decision tree generation technique. In: International Symposium on Rule Interchange and Applications (RuleML 2009), pp. 108–121. Springer (2009)
Peng, Y., Ye, Y., Yin, J.: Decision tree construction algorithm based on association rules. In: 2nd International Conference on Computer Application and System Modeling (ICCASM 2012), pp. 754–756. Atlantis Press (2012)
RapidMiner Studio—RapidMiner. https://rapidminer.com/products/studio/
Miller, G.A.: The magical number seven plus or minus two: some limits on our capacity for processing information. Psychol. Rev. 63(2), 81–97 (1956)
Fontana, M.: The clinical, environmental, and behavioral factors that foster early childhood caries: evidence for caries risk assessment. Pediatr. Dent. 37(3), 217–225 (2015)
Allouche, O., Tsoar, A., Kadmon, R.: Assessing the accuracy of species distribution models: prevalence, kappa and the True Skill Statistic (TSS). J. Appl. Ecol. 43, 1223–1232 (2006)
Cohen, J.: A coefficient of agreement for nominal scales. Educ. Psychol. Measur. 20(1), 37–46 (1960)
Graphviz—Graph Visualization Software. http://graphviz.org/
Acknowledgments
The research presented in this paper was supported by the Ministry of Education, Science, and Technological Development of the Republic of Serbia under Grant III-44010. The authors are most grateful to Ivan Tušek and Jasmina Tušek for the provided data set and valuable support throughout the study.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2016 Springer International Publishing Switzerland
About this paper
Cite this paper
Ivančević, V., Igić, N., Terzić, B., Knežević, M., Luković, I. (2016). Decision Trees as Readable Models for Early Childhood Caries. In: Czarnowski, I., Caballero, A.M., Howlett, R.J., Jain, L.C. (eds) Intelligent Decision Technologies 2016. Smart Innovation, Systems and Technologies, vol 57. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-39627-9_39
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-39627-9_39
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Cham
Print ISBN: 978-3-319-39626-2
Online ISBN: 978-3-319-39627-9
eBook Packages: EngineeringEngineering (R0)