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Microsimulation of Health Expectancies, Life Course Health, and Health Policy Outcomes

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International Handbook of Health Expectancies

Part of the book series: International Handbooks of Population ((IHOP,volume 9))

Abstract

Active life expectancy measures life expectancy and the proportions of remaining life with and without disease or disability. Microsimulation, a useful tool for life course research, estimates active life expectancy by simulating individual lifetime health biographies, where the individual’s status in one or more outcomes is known for each measured unit of life. In this chapter we describe how researchers use microsimulation to study active life expectancy, focusing on research of the past 20 years. We summarize the microsimulation process. We describe how researchers model current and future population health, calculate new active life expectancy measures, and forecast effects of policy change. We illustrate the application of microsimulation to active life expectancy research with a study of interval need, a measure of need for health care and other services focused on resource use. We describe strengths of microsimulation, considerations regarding its use, and directions for future research.

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Author information

Authors and Affiliations

  1. University of North Carolina at Charlotte, Charlotte, NC, USA

    Sarah B. Laditka & James N. Laditka

  2. Population Health Sciences Institute, Newcastle University, Newcastle-upon-Tyne, UK

    Carol Jagger

Authors
  1. Sarah B. Laditka
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  2. James N. Laditka
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  3. Carol Jagger
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Corresponding author

Correspondence to Sarah B. Laditka .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

  1. Population Health Sciences Institute, Newcastle University, Newcastle-upon-Tyne, UK

    Carol Jagger

  2. Davis School of Gerontology, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA

    Eileen M. Crimmins

  3. College of Economics, Nihon University, Tokyo, Japan

    Yasuhiko Saito

  4. Department of Epidemiology and Public Health, Sciensano, Brussels, Belgium

    Renata Tiene De Carvalho Yokota  & Herman Van Oyen  & 

  5. Department of Sociology, Interface Demography, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Brussels, Belgium

    Renata Tiene De Carvalho Yokota

  6. Department of Public Health and Primary Care, Ghent University, Ghent, Belgium

    Herman Van Oyen

  7. Institut national de la santé et de la recherche médicale (Inserm) and Ecole pratique des hautes études (EPHE), Paris, France

    Jean-Marie Robine

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Laditka, S.B., Laditka, J.N., Jagger, C. (2020). Microsimulation of Health Expectancies, Life Course Health, and Health Policy Outcomes. In: Jagger, C., Crimmins, E.M., Saito, Y., De Carvalho Yokota, R.T., Van Oyen, H., Robine, JM. (eds) International Handbook of Health Expectancies. International Handbooks of Population, vol 9. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-37668-0_9

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-37668-0_9

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  • Publisher Name: Springer, Cham

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-030-37666-6

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-030-37668-0

  • eBook Packages: Social SciencesSocial Sciences (R0)

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