Skip to main content

Crop-Livestock Inter-linkages and Climate Change Implications for Ethiopia’s Agriculture: A Ricardian Approach

  • Chapter
  • First Online:
Climate Change, Hazards and Adaptation Options

Abstract

There have been few attempts to look into the economic impacts of climate change in the context of Ethiopia. Although mixed crop-livestock farming is a dominant farming style, most of the studies on climate change, at least in the context of Ethiopia, have emphasized only crop agriculture and disregarded the role of livestock. In this research, we analyze climate change and agricultural productivity in Ethiopia in its broader sense, inclusive of livestock production. We employ a Ricardian approach, estimating three modified versions of the Ricardian model. Results show that warmer temperature is beneficial to livestock agriculture, while it is harmful to the Ethiopian economy from the crop agriculture point of view. Moreover, increasing/decreasing rainfall associated with climate change is damaging to both agricultural activities.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 149.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 199.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD 199.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

References

  • Adams R, McCarl BA, Segerson K, Rosenzweig C, Bryant KJ, Dixon BL, Conner R, Evenson RE, Ojima D (1998) The economic effects of climate change on US agriculture. In: Mendelsohn R, Neumann J (eds) The economics of climate change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge

    Google Scholar 

  • Benhin JKA (2006) Climate change and South African agriculture: impacts and adaptation options. CEEPA discussion paper no. 21. Centre for Environmental Economics and Policy in Africa, University of Pretoria

    Google Scholar 

  • Challinor A, Wheeler T, Garforth C, Craufurd P, Kassam A (2007) Assessing the vulnerability of food crop systems in Africa to climate change. Clim Change 83:381–399

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • CSA (2008) Statistical abstract 2007. CSA, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia

    Google Scholar 

  • CSA (Central Statistical Agency) (2011) Report on area and production of major crops: private peasant holdings, meher season. Agricultural sample survey 2010/11, vol 1. Addis Ababa, Ethiopia

    Google Scholar 

  • Deressa TT (2007) Measuring the economic impact of climate change on Ethiopian agriculture: Ricardian approach. World Bank policy research working paper no. 4342. World Bank, Washington, DC

    Google Scholar 

  • Deressa TT, Hassan RM (2009) Economic impact of climate change on crop production in Ethiopia: evidence from cross-section measures. J Afr Econ 18(4):529–554

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Deressa TT, Hassan RM, Ringler C (2008a) Measuring Ethiopian farmers’ vulnerability to climate change across regional states. IFPRI discussion paper 00806. IFPRI, Washington, DC

    Google Scholar 

  • Deressa TT, Hassan RM, Alemu T, Yesuf M, Ringler C (2008b) Analyzing the determinants of farmers’ choice of adaptation methods and perceptions of climate change in the Nile basin of Ethiopia. IFPRI discussion paper 00798. IFPRI, Washington, DC

    Google Scholar 

  • Diao X, Pratt AN (2007) Growth options and poverty reduction in Ethiopia: an economy-wide model analysis. Food Policy 32(2):205–228

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Eid H, El-Marsafawy S, Ouda S (2006) Assessing the economic impacts of climate change on agriculture in Egypt: a Ricardian approach. CEEPA discussion paper no. 16. Centre for Environmental Economics and Policy in Africa, University of Pretoria

    Google Scholar 

  • Erenstein O, Thorpe W, Singh J, Varma A (2007) Crop-livestock interactions and livelihoods in the Trans-Gangetic Plains, India. ILRI (International Livestock Research Institute) research report 10. ILRI

    Google Scholar 

  • Fafchamps M, Udry C, Czukas K (1998) Drought and saving in West Africa: are livestock a buffer stock? J Dev Econ 55:273–305

    Google Scholar 

  • FDRE (Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia) (2011) Ethiopia’s climate-resilient green economy: green economy strategy. Addis Ababa, Ethiopia

    Google Scholar 

  • Gbetibouo G, Hassan RM (2005) Economic impact of climate change on major South African field crops: a Ricardian approach. Glob Planet Change 47:143–152

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) (2001) Climate change 2001: impacts, adaptation and vulnerability. Contribution of working group II to the third assessment report of the IPCC. Cambridge University Press

    Google Scholar 

  • Jain S (2006) An empirical economic assessment of impacts of climate change on agriculture in Zambia. CEEPA discussion paper no. 27. Centre for Environmental Economics and Policy in Africa, University of Pretoria

    Google Scholar 

  • Kabubo-Mariara J (2008) Climate change adaptation and livestock activity choices in Kenya. An econometric analysis. Nat Resour Forum 32:132–142

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kabubo-Mariara J, Karanja F (2006) The economic impact of climate change on Kenyan crop agriculture: a Ricardian approach. CEEPA discussion paper no. 12. Centre for Environmental Economics and Policy in Africa, University of Pretoria

    Google Scholar 

  • Kassahun MM (2009) Climate change and crop agriculture in the Nile basin of Ethiopia: measuring impacts and adaptation options. MSc thesis, Addis Ababa University

    Google Scholar 

  • Kazianga H, Udry C (2004) Consumption smoothing and livestock in rural Burkina Faso. Working paper 898. Economic Growth Center

    Google Scholar 

  • Kumar K, Parikh J (1998) Climate change impacts on Indian agriculture: the Ricardian approach. In: Dinar A, Mendelsohn R, Everson R, Parikh J, Sanghi A, Kumar K, McKinsey J, Lonergan S (eds) Measuring the impact of climate change on Indian agriculture. World Bank technical paper 402. Washington, DC

    Google Scholar 

  • Kumar K, Kavi S (2009) Climate sensitivity of Indian agriculture: do spatial effects matter? SANDEE working paper no. 45-09. SANDEE, Kathmandu

    Google Scholar 

  • Kurukulasuriya P, Mendelsohn R (2006) Crop selection: adapting to climate change in Africa. CEEPA Discussion Paper No. 26. Pretoria, Centre for Environmental Economics and Policy in Africa, University of Pretoria

    Google Scholar 

  • Kurukulasuriya P, Mendelsohn R (2008) A Ricardian analysis of the impact of climate change on African cropland. CEEPA discussion paper no. 8. Centre for Environmental Economics and Policy in Africa, University of Pretoria

    Google Scholar 

  • Mano R, Nhemachena C (2006) Assessment of the economic impacts of climate change on agriculture in Zimbabwe: a Ricardian approach. CEEPA discussion paper no. 11. Centre for Environmental Economics and Policy in Africa, University of Pretoria

    Google Scholar 

  • Mendelsohn R, Dinar A (1999) Climate change, agriculture, and developing countries: does adaptation matter? World Bank Res Obs 14:277–293

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Mendelsohn R, Dinar A (2003) Climate, water, and agriculture. Land Econ 79(3):328–341

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Mendelsohn R, Nordhaus W, Shaw D (1994) The impact of global warming on agriculture: a Ricardian analysis. Am Econ Rev 84:753–771

    Google Scholar 

  • MoARD (Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development) (2010a) Ethiopia’s agriculture sector policy and investment framework (PIF) 2010–2020. Addis Ababa, Ethiopia

    Google Scholar 

  • MoARD (2010b) The five years (2010/11–2014/15) growth and transformation plan. MoFED, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia

    Google Scholar 

  • MoFED (Ministry of Finance and Economic Development) (2010) Growth and Transformation Plan (GTP) 2010/11-2014/15, Addis Ababa: MoFED, September 2010

    Google Scholar 

  • MoFED (Ministry of Finance and Economic Development) (2012) Ethiopia’s progress towards eradicating poverty: an interim report on poverty analysis study. 2010/11

    Google Scholar 

  • Molua E, Lambi C (2006) The economic impact of climate change on agriculture in Cameroon. CEEPA discussion paper no. 17. Centre for Environmental Economics and Policy in Africa, University of Pretoria

    Google Scholar 

  • Ouedraogo M, Somé L, Dembele Y (2006) Economic impact assessment of climate change on agriculture in Burkina Faso: a Ricardian approach. CEEPA discussion paper no. 24. Centre for Environmental Economics and Policy in Africa, University of Pretoria

    Google Scholar 

  • Polsky C (2004) Putting space and time in Ricardian climate change impact studies: agriculture in the US Great Plains, 1969–1992. Ann Assoc Am Geogr 94(3):549–564

    Google Scholar 

  • Polsky C, Esterling WE (2001) Adaptation to climate variability and change in the US Great Plains: a multi-scale analysis of Ricardian climate sensitivities. Agric Ecosyst Environ 85(3):133–144

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Sanghi A (1998) Global warming and climate sensitivity: Brazilian and Indian agriculture. Ph.D. dissertation, Department of Economics, University of Chicago

    Google Scholar 

  • Sanghi A, Mendelsohn R, Dinar A (1998) The climate sensitivity of Indian agriculture. In: Dinar A, Mendelsohn R, Everson R, Parikh J, Sanghi A, Kumar K, McKinsey J, Lonergan S (eds) Measuring the impact of climate change on Indian agriculture. World Bank technical paper no. 402. Washington, DC

    Google Scholar 

  • Scoones I, Wolmer W (eds) (2000) Pathways of change: crop, livestock and livelihoods in Africa lessons from Ethiopia, Mali and Zimbabwe.IDS (Institute of Development Studies), University of Sussex

    Google Scholar 

  • Sene IM, Diop M, Dieng A (2006) Impacts of climate change on the revenues and adaptation of farmers in Senegal. CEEPA discussion paper no. 20. Centre for Environmental Economics and Policy in Africa, University of Pretoria

    Google Scholar 

  • Seo SN, Mendelsohn R (2006) The impact of climate change on livestock management in Africa: a structural Ricardian analysis. CEEPA discussion paper no. 9. Center for Environmental Economics and Policy in Africa, University of Pretoria

    Google Scholar 

  • Seo SN, Mendelsohn R (2008a) Measuring impacts and adaptations to climate change: A structural Ricardian Model of African livestock management. Agric Econ 38:1–15

    Google Scholar 

  • Seo SN, Mendelsohn R (2008b) Climate change impacts and adaptations on animal husbandry in Africa. Afr J Agric Res Econ 2:65–82

    Google Scholar 

  • Seo SN, Mendelsohn R, Munasinghe M (2005) Climate change impacts on agriculture in Sri Lanka. Environ Dev Econ 10:581–596

    Google Scholar 

  • Seo SN, Maddison D, Dinar A (2006) Will African agriculture survive climate change? World Bank Econ Rev 20:367–388

    Google Scholar 

  • Seo SN, Mendelsohn R, Dinar A, Hassan RM, Kurukulasuriya P (2009) A Ricardian analysis of the distribution of climate change impacts on agriculture across agro-ecological zones in Africa. Environ Resour Econ 43:313–332

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Strzepek K, McCluskey A (2007) The impacts of climate change on regional water resources and agriculture in Africa. World Bank policy research working paper no. 4290. The World Bank, Washington, DC

    Google Scholar 

  • Yesuf M, Di Falco S, Ringler C, Köhlin G (2008) Impact of climate change and adaptation to climate change on food production in low-income countries: household survey data evidence from the Nile basin of Ethiopia. IFPRI discussion paper 00828. IFPRI, Washington, DC

    Google Scholar 

  • Zhai F, Lin T, Byambdorj E (2009) A General Equilibrium analysis of the impact of climate change on agriculture in the People’s Republic of China. Asian Dev Rev 26(1):206−225

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgements

The authors gratefully acknowledge financial support for this work from the Swedish International Development Cooperation Agency (Sida) through the Environment for Development Initiative (EfD), Department of Economics, University of Gothenburg.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Zenebe Gebreegziabher .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2020 Springer Nature Switzerland AG

About this chapter

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this chapter

Gebreegziabher, Z., Mekonnen, A., Bekele, R.D., Zewdie, S.A., Kassahun, M.M. (2020). Crop-Livestock Inter-linkages and Climate Change Implications for Ethiopia’s Agriculture: A Ricardian Approach. In: Leal Filho, W., Nagy, G., Borga, M., Chávez Muñoz, P., Magnuszewski, A. (eds) Climate Change, Hazards and Adaptation Options. Climate Change Management. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-37425-9_31

Download citation

Publish with us

Policies and ethics