Abstract
There have been few attempts to look into the economic impacts of climate change in the context of Ethiopia. Although mixed crop-livestock farming is a dominant farming style, most of the studies on climate change, at least in the context of Ethiopia, have emphasized only crop agriculture and disregarded the role of livestock. In this research, we analyze climate change and agricultural productivity in Ethiopia in its broader sense, inclusive of livestock production. We employ a Ricardian approach, estimating three modified versions of the Ricardian model. Results show that warmer temperature is beneficial to livestock agriculture, while it is harmful to the Ethiopian economy from the crop agriculture point of view. Moreover, increasing/decreasing rainfall associated with climate change is damaging to both agricultural activities.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
References
Adams R, McCarl BA, Segerson K, Rosenzweig C, Bryant KJ, Dixon BL, Conner R, Evenson RE, Ojima D (1998) The economic effects of climate change on US agriculture. In: Mendelsohn R, Neumann J (eds) The economics of climate change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
Benhin JKA (2006) Climate change and South African agriculture: impacts and adaptation options. CEEPA discussion paper no. 21. Centre for Environmental Economics and Policy in Africa, University of Pretoria
Challinor A, Wheeler T, Garforth C, Craufurd P, Kassam A (2007) Assessing the vulnerability of food crop systems in Africa to climate change. Clim Change 83:381–399
CSA (2008) Statistical abstract 2007. CSA, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
CSA (Central Statistical Agency) (2011) Report on area and production of major crops: private peasant holdings, meher season. Agricultural sample survey 2010/11, vol 1. Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
Deressa TT (2007) Measuring the economic impact of climate change on Ethiopian agriculture: Ricardian approach. World Bank policy research working paper no. 4342. World Bank, Washington, DC
Deressa TT, Hassan RM (2009) Economic impact of climate change on crop production in Ethiopia: evidence from cross-section measures. J Afr Econ 18(4):529–554
Deressa TT, Hassan RM, Ringler C (2008a) Measuring Ethiopian farmers’ vulnerability to climate change across regional states. IFPRI discussion paper 00806. IFPRI, Washington, DC
Deressa TT, Hassan RM, Alemu T, Yesuf M, Ringler C (2008b) Analyzing the determinants of farmers’ choice of adaptation methods and perceptions of climate change in the Nile basin of Ethiopia. IFPRI discussion paper 00798. IFPRI, Washington, DC
Diao X, Pratt AN (2007) Growth options and poverty reduction in Ethiopia: an economy-wide model analysis. Food Policy 32(2):205–228
Eid H, El-Marsafawy S, Ouda S (2006) Assessing the economic impacts of climate change on agriculture in Egypt: a Ricardian approach. CEEPA discussion paper no. 16. Centre for Environmental Economics and Policy in Africa, University of Pretoria
Erenstein O, Thorpe W, Singh J, Varma A (2007) Crop-livestock interactions and livelihoods in the Trans-Gangetic Plains, India. ILRI (International Livestock Research Institute) research report 10. ILRI
Fafchamps M, Udry C, Czukas K (1998) Drought and saving in West Africa: are livestock a buffer stock? J Dev Econ 55:273–305
FDRE (Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia) (2011) Ethiopia’s climate-resilient green economy: green economy strategy. Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
Gbetibouo G, Hassan RM (2005) Economic impact of climate change on major South African field crops: a Ricardian approach. Glob Planet Change 47:143–152
IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) (2001) Climate change 2001: impacts, adaptation and vulnerability. Contribution of working group II to the third assessment report of the IPCC. Cambridge University Press
Jain S (2006) An empirical economic assessment of impacts of climate change on agriculture in Zambia. CEEPA discussion paper no. 27. Centre for Environmental Economics and Policy in Africa, University of Pretoria
Kabubo-Mariara J (2008) Climate change adaptation and livestock activity choices in Kenya. An econometric analysis. Nat Resour Forum 32:132–142
Kabubo-Mariara J, Karanja F (2006) The economic impact of climate change on Kenyan crop agriculture: a Ricardian approach. CEEPA discussion paper no. 12. Centre for Environmental Economics and Policy in Africa, University of Pretoria
Kassahun MM (2009) Climate change and crop agriculture in the Nile basin of Ethiopia: measuring impacts and adaptation options. MSc thesis, Addis Ababa University
Kazianga H, Udry C (2004) Consumption smoothing and livestock in rural Burkina Faso. Working paper 898. Economic Growth Center
Kumar K, Parikh J (1998) Climate change impacts on Indian agriculture: the Ricardian approach. In: Dinar A, Mendelsohn R, Everson R, Parikh J, Sanghi A, Kumar K, McKinsey J, Lonergan S (eds) Measuring the impact of climate change on Indian agriculture. World Bank technical paper 402. Washington, DC
Kumar K, Kavi S (2009) Climate sensitivity of Indian agriculture: do spatial effects matter? SANDEE working paper no. 45-09. SANDEE, Kathmandu
Kurukulasuriya P, Mendelsohn R (2006) Crop selection: adapting to climate change in Africa. CEEPA Discussion Paper No. 26. Pretoria, Centre for Environmental Economics and Policy in Africa, University of Pretoria
Kurukulasuriya P, Mendelsohn R (2008) A Ricardian analysis of the impact of climate change on African cropland. CEEPA discussion paper no. 8. Centre for Environmental Economics and Policy in Africa, University of Pretoria
Mano R, Nhemachena C (2006) Assessment of the economic impacts of climate change on agriculture in Zimbabwe: a Ricardian approach. CEEPA discussion paper no. 11. Centre for Environmental Economics and Policy in Africa, University of Pretoria
Mendelsohn R, Dinar A (1999) Climate change, agriculture, and developing countries: does adaptation matter? World Bank Res Obs 14:277–293
Mendelsohn R, Dinar A (2003) Climate, water, and agriculture. Land Econ 79(3):328–341
Mendelsohn R, Nordhaus W, Shaw D (1994) The impact of global warming on agriculture: a Ricardian analysis. Am Econ Rev 84:753–771
MoARD (Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development) (2010a) Ethiopia’s agriculture sector policy and investment framework (PIF) 2010–2020. Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
MoARD (2010b) The five years (2010/11–2014/15) growth and transformation plan. MoFED, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
MoFED (Ministry of Finance and Economic Development) (2010) Growth and Transformation Plan (GTP) 2010/11-2014/15, Addis Ababa: MoFED, September 2010
MoFED (Ministry of Finance and Economic Development) (2012) Ethiopia’s progress towards eradicating poverty: an interim report on poverty analysis study. 2010/11
Molua E, Lambi C (2006) The economic impact of climate change on agriculture in Cameroon. CEEPA discussion paper no. 17. Centre for Environmental Economics and Policy in Africa, University of Pretoria
Ouedraogo M, Somé L, Dembele Y (2006) Economic impact assessment of climate change on agriculture in Burkina Faso: a Ricardian approach. CEEPA discussion paper no. 24. Centre for Environmental Economics and Policy in Africa, University of Pretoria
Polsky C (2004) Putting space and time in Ricardian climate change impact studies: agriculture in the US Great Plains, 1969–1992. Ann Assoc Am Geogr 94(3):549–564
Polsky C, Esterling WE (2001) Adaptation to climate variability and change in the US Great Plains: a multi-scale analysis of Ricardian climate sensitivities. Agric Ecosyst Environ 85(3):133–144
Sanghi A (1998) Global warming and climate sensitivity: Brazilian and Indian agriculture. Ph.D. dissertation, Department of Economics, University of Chicago
Sanghi A, Mendelsohn R, Dinar A (1998) The climate sensitivity of Indian agriculture. In: Dinar A, Mendelsohn R, Everson R, Parikh J, Sanghi A, Kumar K, McKinsey J, Lonergan S (eds) Measuring the impact of climate change on Indian agriculture. World Bank technical paper no. 402. Washington, DC
Scoones I, Wolmer W (eds) (2000) Pathways of change: crop, livestock and livelihoods in Africa lessons from Ethiopia, Mali and Zimbabwe.IDS (Institute of Development Studies), University of Sussex
Sene IM, Diop M, Dieng A (2006) Impacts of climate change on the revenues and adaptation of farmers in Senegal. CEEPA discussion paper no. 20. Centre for Environmental Economics and Policy in Africa, University of Pretoria
Seo SN, Mendelsohn R (2006) The impact of climate change on livestock management in Africa: a structural Ricardian analysis. CEEPA discussion paper no. 9. Center for Environmental Economics and Policy in Africa, University of Pretoria
Seo SN, Mendelsohn R (2008a) Measuring impacts and adaptations to climate change: A structural Ricardian Model of African livestock management. Agric Econ 38:1–15
Seo SN, Mendelsohn R (2008b) Climate change impacts and adaptations on animal husbandry in Africa. Afr J Agric Res Econ 2:65–82
Seo SN, Mendelsohn R, Munasinghe M (2005) Climate change impacts on agriculture in Sri Lanka. Environ Dev Econ 10:581–596
Seo SN, Maddison D, Dinar A (2006) Will African agriculture survive climate change? World Bank Econ Rev 20:367–388
Seo SN, Mendelsohn R, Dinar A, Hassan RM, Kurukulasuriya P (2009) A Ricardian analysis of the distribution of climate change impacts on agriculture across agro-ecological zones in Africa. Environ Resour Econ 43:313–332
Strzepek K, McCluskey A (2007) The impacts of climate change on regional water resources and agriculture in Africa. World Bank policy research working paper no. 4290. The World Bank, Washington, DC
Yesuf M, Di Falco S, Ringler C, Köhlin G (2008) Impact of climate change and adaptation to climate change on food production in low-income countries: household survey data evidence from the Nile basin of Ethiopia. IFPRI discussion paper 00828. IFPRI, Washington, DC
Zhai F, Lin T, Byambdorj E (2009) A General Equilibrium analysis of the impact of climate change on agriculture in the People’s Republic of China. Asian Dev Rev 26(1):206−225
Acknowledgements
The authors gratefully acknowledge financial support for this work from the Swedish International Development Cooperation Agency (Sida) through the Environment for Development Initiative (EfD), Department of Economics, University of Gothenburg.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2020 Springer Nature Switzerland AG
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Gebreegziabher, Z., Mekonnen, A., Bekele, R.D., Zewdie, S.A., Kassahun, M.M. (2020). Crop-Livestock Inter-linkages and Climate Change Implications for Ethiopia’s Agriculture: A Ricardian Approach. In: Leal Filho, W., Nagy, G., Borga, M., Chávez Muñoz, P., Magnuszewski, A. (eds) Climate Change, Hazards and Adaptation Options. Climate Change Management. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-37425-9_31
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-37425-9_31
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Cham
Print ISBN: 978-3-030-37424-2
Online ISBN: 978-3-030-37425-9
eBook Packages: Literature, Cultural and Media StudiesLiterature, Cultural and Media Studies (R0)