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Future-Proofing Navies for Uncertainty

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Proceeding of the VI International Ship Design & Naval Engineering Congress (CIDIN) and XXVI Pan-American Congress of Naval Engineering, Maritime Transportation and Port Engineering (COPINAVAL) (CIDIN 2019, COPINAVAL 2019)

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Abstract

Naval planners face a future rendered uncertain by competing priorities that result from competing visions of the international future at sea. To this must be added radical technological and legal change. Managing the consequent problems will require a holistic and considered maritime approach, effective selling of the sea, strategic patience, clarity in operational priorities and cost-effective acquisition and fleet management systems.

G. Till—The opinions expressed in this article are my own and should not be taken necessarily to represent those of the US, UK or any other government or institution.

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Notes

  1. 1.

    I Corinthians, 13:12.

  2. 2.

    von Clausewitz (1984), p. 101.

  3. 3.

    Hoffman (2015).

  4. 4.

    Koven (2016).

  5. 5.

    A point developed in the 4th edition of my Till (2018), pp. 138–141.

  6. 6.

    5G (2019).

  7. 7.

    Kamara (2018).

  8. 8.

    Gunzinger and Dougherty (2011).

  9. 9.

    Singer and Cole (2015).

  10. 10.

    One of the best and most convenient reviews of all this are the Global Strategic Trends reports produced annually by the UK Ministry of Defence’s Developments, Concepts and Doctrine Centre available at www.gov.uk/mod/dcdc.

  11. 11.

    Barrett (2017), p. 57.

  12. 12.

    China’s Military Strategy (2015). Available at http://end.mod.gov.cn/Database/WhitePapers/index.htm, p. 4.

  13. 13.

    Politica Nacional del Oceano y de los Espacios Costeros (2013).

  14. 14.

    Torremans (2015).

  15. 15.

    Oliver (2015).

  16. 16.

    Ing (2015).

  17. 17.

    Sanchez (2016).

  18. 18.

    Char (2016).

  19. 19.

    DoD (2016).

  20. 20.

    Narula (2017).

  21. 21.

    White (2015).

  22. 22.

    Guevara (2015).

  23. 23.

    Guevara (2015).

  24. 24.

    Oliver (2017).

  25. 25.

    Wasserbly (2015).

  26. 26.

    Childs (2009).

  27. 27.

    Hambleton et al. (2013).

  28. 28.

    Kirkpatrick (1997), p. 11.

  29. 29.

    Barrett, op cit, p. 60.

  30. 30.

    Barrett, op cit, p. 55.

  31. 31.

    Pietrucha (2015).

  32. 32.

    Hoffman (2015).

  33. 33.

    Greenert (2014).

  34. 34.

    Cavas (2016).

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. US Naval War College, Newport, RI, USA

    Geoffrey Till

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  1. Geoffrey Till
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Editors and Affiliations

  1. Instituto Panamericano de Ingeniería Naval, Bogotá D.C., Colombia

    Vice Admiral Jorge Enrique Carreño Moreno

  2. Technological University of Panama, Panama City, Panama

    Adan Vega Saenz

  3. Escola Politécnica Superior, University of A Coruña, Ferrol, La Coruña, Spain

    Luis Carral Couce

  4. COTECMAR, Cartagena, Colombia

    Jymmy Saravia Arenas

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Till, G. (2020). Future-Proofing Navies for Uncertainty. In: Carreño Moreno, V., Vega Saenz, A., Carral Couce, L., Saravia Arenas, J. (eds) Proceeding of the VI International Ship Design & Naval Engineering Congress (CIDIN) and XXVI Pan-American Congress of Naval Engineering, Maritime Transportation and Port Engineering (COPINAVAL). CIDIN COPINAVAL 2019 2019. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-35963-8_4

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-35963-8_4

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  • Publisher Name: Springer, Cham

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