Skip to main content

Adaptive ARMA Based Prediction of CPU Consumption of Servers into Datacenters

  • Conference paper
  • First Online:
Book cover Mobile, Secure, and Programmable Networking (MSPN 2018)

Part of the book series: Lecture Notes in Computer Science ((LNCCN,volume 11005))

Abstract

The optimization of the energy consumed by data centers is a major concern. Several techniques have tried in vain to overcome this issue for many years. In this panoply, predictive approaches start to emerge. They consist in predicting in advance the resource requirement of the Datacenter’s servers in order to reserve their right quantities at the right time and thus avoid either the waste caused by their over-supplying or the performance problems caused by their under-supplying. In this article, we explored the performance of ARMA models in the realization of this type of prediction. It appears that with good selection of parameters, the ARMA models produce reliable predictions but also about 30% higher than those performed with naive methods. These results could be used to feed virtual machine management algorithms into Cloud Datacenters, particularly in the decision-making of their placement or migration for the rationalization of provisioned resources.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 39.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 54.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

References

  1. Davis, I., Hemmati, H., Holt, R.C., Godfrey, M.W., Neuse, D., Mankovskii, S.: Storm prediction in a cloud. In: 2013 ICSE Workshop on Principles of Engineering Service-Oriented Systems (PESOS), pp. 37–40. IEEE (2013)

    Google Scholar 

  2. Hao, M.C. et al.: A visual analytics approach for peak-preserving prediction of large seasonal time series. In: Computer Graphics Forum, vol. 30, pp. 691–700. Wiley Online Library (2011)

    Google Scholar 

  3. Hibon, M., Makridakis, S.: ARMA models and the Box-Jenkins methodology (1997)

    Google Scholar 

  4. Hoff, J.C.: A Practical Guide to Box-Jenkins Forecasting. Lifetime Learning Publications, Belmont (1983)

    Google Scholar 

  5. Huang, Q., Shuang, K., Xu, P., Li, J., Liu, X., Su, S.: Prediction-based dynamic resource scheduling for virtualized cloud systems. J. Netw. 9(2), 375–383 (2014)

    Google Scholar 

  6. Kellner, I.L.: Turn down the heat. J. Bus. Strategy 16(6), 22–23 (1995)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  7. Robinson, P.M.: The estimation of a nonlinear moving average model. Stoch. Process. Their Appl. 5(1), 81–90 (1977)

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  8. Roy, N., Dubey, A., Gokhale, A.: Efficient autoscaling in the cloud using predictive models for workload forecasting. In: 2011 IEEE International Conference on Cloud Computing (CLOUD), pp. 500–507. IEEE (2011)

    Google Scholar 

  9. Yule, G.U.: On a method of investigating periodicities in disturbed series, with special reference to Wolfer’s sunspot numbers. Philos. Trans. R. Soc. Lond. Ser. A 226, 267–298 (1927)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  10. Vondra, T., Sedivy, J.: Maximizing utilization in private iaas clouds with heterogenous load through time series forecasting. Int. J. Adv. Syst. Meas. 6(1–2), 149–165 (2013)

    Google Scholar 

  11. Wilkes, J.: More Google cluster data. Google research blog, November 2011

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Selma Boumerdassi .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2019 Springer Nature Switzerland AG

About this paper

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this paper

Gbaguidi, F.A.R., Boumerdassi, S., Milocco, R., Ezin, E.C. (2019). Adaptive ARMA Based Prediction of CPU Consumption of Servers into Datacenters. In: Renault, É., Boumerdassi, S., Bouzefrane, S. (eds) Mobile, Secure, and Programmable Networking. MSPN 2018. Lecture Notes in Computer Science(), vol 11005. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-03101-5_23

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-03101-5_23

  • Published:

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Cham

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-030-03100-8

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-030-03101-5

  • eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics