Indian Ocean Tropical Cyclones and Climate Change

1. Front Matter

   Pages i-xiii

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2. Climate Change and Tropical Cyclone Activity

   1. Front Matter

      Pages 1-1

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   2. A Climatology of Intense Tropical Cyclones in the North Indian Ocean Over the Past Three Decades (1980-2008)

      • Karl Hoarau, Ludovic Chalonge

      Pages 3-7

   3. Tropical Cyclones in a Hieararchy of Climate Models of Increasing Resolution

      • P. L. Vidale, M. Roberts, K. Hodges, J. Strachan, M. E. Demory, J. Slingo

      Pages 9-14

   4. Modeling Climate Change: Perspective and Applications in the Context of Bangladesh

      • M. J. B. Alam, F. Ahmed

      Pages 15-23

   5. Changes in Tropical Cyclone Precipitation Over China

      • Fumin Ren, Guoxiong Wu, Xiaoling Wang, Yongmei Wang

      Pages 25-28

   6. Toward Improved Projection of the Future Tropical Cyclone Changes

      • Masato Sugi

      Pages 29-35

   7. Global Warming and Tropical Cyclone Activity in the Western North Pacific

      • Johnny C. L. Chan

      Pages 37-46

   8. Tropical Cyclones and Climate Change: An Indian Ocean Perspective

      • Thomas R. Knutson

      Pages 47-49

   9. Recent Trends in Tropical Cyclone Activity in the North Indian Ocean

      • O. P. Singh

      Pages 51-54

3. Progress on Tropical Cyclogenesis

   1. Front Matter

      Pages 56-56

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   2. Generating Synthetic Tropical Cyclone Databases for Input to Modeling of Extreme Winds, Waves, and Storm Surges

      • T. A. Hardy, L. B. Mason, J. D. McConochie

      Pages 57-64

   3. Numerical Simulation of the Genesis of Cyclone Nargis Using a Global Cloud-System Resolving Model, NICAM

      • Wataru Yanase, Hiroshi Taniguchi, Masaki Satoh

      Pages 65-72

   4. Simulation of the North Indian Ocean Tropical Cyclones Using the Regional Environment Simulator: Application to Cyclone Nargis in 2008

      • Mohammed Haggag, Takao Yamashita, Kyeong Ok Kim, Han Soo Lee

      Pages 73-82

   5. Simulation of Track and Intensity of Gonu and Sidr with WRF-NMM Modeling System

      • Sujata Pattanayak, U. C. Mohanty

      Pages 83-89

4. Operational Tropical Cyclone Forecasting & Warning Systems

   1. Front Matter

      Pages 92-92

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   2. Monitoring and Prediction of Cyclonic Disturbances Over North Indian Ocean by Regional Specialised Meteorological Centre, New Delhi (India): Problems and Prospective

      • Ajit Tyagi, B. K. Bandyopadhyay, M. Mohapatra

      Pages 93-103

   3. Evaluation of the WRF and Quasi-Lagrangian Model (QLM) for Cyclone Track Prediction Over Bay of Bengal and Arabian Sea

      • Y. V. Rama Rao, A. Madhu Latha, P. Suneetha

      Pages 105-114

   4. Simulation of Tropical Cyclones Over Indian Seas: Data Impact Study Using WRF-Var Assimilation System

      • Krishna K. Osuri, A. Routray, U. C. Mohanty, Makarand A. Kulkarni

      Pages 115-124

   5. Impact of Rain-Affected SSM/I Data Assimilation on the Analyses and Forecasts of Tropical Cyclones, and Study of Flow-Dependent Ensemble Background Errors, Over the Southwest Indian Ocean

      • R. Montroty, F. Rabier, S. Westrelin, G. Faure, Loïk Berre, Laure Raynaud

      Pages 125-129

Tropical cyclones are topic that is not appropriately known to the public at large, but climate change has been on the public’s mind since the last decade and a concern that has peaked in the new millennium. Like the television programs of Jean Yves Cousteau the ‘plight of the oceans’, have recent documentaries nurtured a conscio- ness that major climatological changes are in the offing, even have started to develop. The retreat of glaciers on mountain tops and in Polar Regions is ‘being seen’ on ‘the small screen’ and has favored an environmental awareness in all populations that are enjoying an average well-being on Planet Earth. The vivid images on screen of storms, floods, and tsunamis share the fear provoking landscapes of deforestation, desertification and the like. Watching such as this one is seen are voices warning of what over is ‘in store’ if the causative problems are not remedied. Talking and d- cussing are useful, but action must follow. Understanding the full ramifications of climate change on tropical cyclones is a task that will takes several decades. In Climate Change 2007, the Fourth Assessment Report of the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) a high probability of major changes in tropical cyclone activity across the various ocean basins is highlighted.

• Climatology
• Cloud
• Cyclogenesis
• Forecasting
• Global warming
• Indian Ocean
• Precipitation
• Rain
• Scale
• Storm
• Storm surge
• Tropical Cyclones
• climate change
• cyclone
• satellite
• meteorology

• Dept. Geography, Sultan Qaboos University, Muscat, Oman

  Yassine Charabi

Yassine Charabi is Assistant Professor at the Department of Geography at Sultan Qaboos University, Oman. Her main research interests are in applied climatology and meteorology. She is the author more than 20 scientific publications including the book Elements de Climatologie Urbaine: cas de la ville de Sfax (2006, Centre de Publication Universitaire, Tunisie).

Salim Al-Hatrushi is Assistant Professor at the Department of Geography at Sultan Qaboos University, Oman. His research focuses on coastal processes and geomorphology.

Yassine Charabi and Salim Al-Hatrushi were in the scientific organizing committee of the First International Conference on Indian Ocean Tropical Cyclones and Climate Change, co-sponsored by The World Meteorological Organization (WMO).

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