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  • Conference proceedings
  • © 2009

Uncertainties in Environmental Modelling and Consequences for Policy Making

  • Systematic coverage of a crucial aspect of environmental modelling
  • Effectively provides a bridge between scientists and policy makers
  • Theoretical background illustrated by topical case studies

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Table of contents (17 papers)

  1. Front Matter

    Pages i-xix
  2. Model Conceptualization

    1. Spatially explicit versus lumped models in catchment hydrology – experiences from two case studies

      • Helge Bormann, Lutz Breuer, Simone Giertz, Johan A. Huisman, Neil R. Viney
      Pages 3-26
    2. Cellular automata modeling of environmental systems

      • Salvatore Straface, Giuseppe Mendicino
      Pages 27-60
  3. Verification Of Models

    1. Stochastic arithmetic and verification of mathematical models

      • Jean-Marie Chesneaux, Fabienne Jézéquel, Jean-Luc Lamotte
      Pages 101-125
  4. Calibration and Sensitivity Analysis

    1. Recommended practices in global sensitivity analysis

      • Andrea Saltelli, Daniele Vidoni, Massimiliano Mascherini
      Pages 183-202
  5. Evaluation Of Models

  6. Communicating Modelling Results And Uncertainties

    1. Communicating uncertainty to policy makers

      • Anthony Patt
      Pages 231-251
  7. Decision Making On The Basis Of Model Prediction

    1. Approaches to handling uncertainty when setting environmental exposure standards

      • Esben Budtz-Jørgensen, Niels Keiding, Philippe Grandjean
      Pages 267-280
  8. Global Climate Change

  9. Natural Attenuation of Contaminants and Risk Assessment

    1. Phytotechnologies: how plants and bacteria work together

      • Stefan Shilev, Iordanka Kuzmanova, Enrique Sancho
      Pages 385-397
  10. Back Matter

    Pages 399-401

About this book

Mathematical modelling has become in recent years an essential tool for the prediction of environmental change and for the development of sustainable policies. Yet, many of the uncertainties associated with modelling efforts appear poorly understood by many, especially by policy makers. This book attempts for the first time to cover the full range of issues related to model uncertainties, from the subjectivity of setting up a conceptual model of a given system, all the way to communicating the nature of model uncertainties to non-scientists and accounting for model uncertainties in policy decisions. Theoretical chapters, providing background information on specific steps in the modelling process and in the adoption of models by end-users, are complemented by illustrative case studies dealing with soils and global climate change. All the chapters are authored by recognized experts in their respective disciplines, and provide a timely and uniquely comprehensive coverage of an important field.

Editors and Affiliations

  • SIMBIOS Centre, Abertay University, Dundee, U.K.

    Philippe C. Baveye

  • School of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Cornell University, Ithaca, U.S.A.

    Magdeline Laba

  • Foundation Eni Enrico Mattei, Venice, Italy

    Jaroslav Mysiak

Bibliographic Information

Buy it now

Buying options

eBook USD 169.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book USD 219.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book USD 219.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Other ways to access