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Modelling and Analysis in Arms Control

  • Conference proceedings
  • © 1986

Overview

Editors:
  1. Rudolf Avenhaus

    1. Federal Armed Forces University Munich, Neubiberg, Germany

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  2. Reiner K. Huber

    1. Federal Armed Forces University Munich, Neubiberg, Germany

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  3. John D. Kettelle

    1. Ketron, Inc., Rosslyn Center, Arlington, USA

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Part of the book series: NATO ASI Subseries F: (NATO ASI F, volume 26)

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Table of contents (30 papers)

  1. Front Matter

    Pages I-VIII
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  2. Introduction: Systems Analysis and Modelling in Arms Control

    1. Introduction: Systems Analysis and Modelling in Arms Control

      • Rudolf Avenhaus, Reiner K. Huber
      Pages 1-29

  3. History, Lessons, Issues

    1. Front Matter

      Pages 31-31
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    2. Arms Control and Strategic Military Stability

      • Lothar Rühl
      Pages 33-41

    3. Arms Control for the Long Term

      • Paul Bracken
      Pages 43-50

    4. Arms Control: Lessons Learned and the Future

      • Gwyn Prins
      Pages 51-95

    5. Arms Control Frustration — Understanding the Impasse and How to Break It

      • John R. Bode, Stephan E. Schoderbek
      Pages 97-106

    6. Defense Outlays and Arms Control in the Election Cycle

      • Wulf Albers, Gisela Albers
      Pages 107-122

  4. Pre-Arms Control Assessment of Options and Objectives

    1. Front Matter

      Pages 123-123
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    2. Report of the Chairman: What Role Can Analysis Play in Illuminating Arms Control Objectives and Options?

      • Sydell P. Gold
      Pages 125-142

    3. The Use of Arms Control Negotiations Simulation as a Bridge Between Policy and Analysis

      • Frank W. Jenkins
      Pages 143-152

    4. Pre-Arms Control Assessment of the Strategic Balance: The Impact of Objectives and Approaches

      • Alfred Lieberman
      Pages 153-169

    5. Generation of Alternative Force Configurations for Arms Control Negotiations Using Linear Programming

      • Charles ReVelle, Joanne Barker
      Pages 171-181

    6. Stability, SDI, Air Defense and Deep Cuts

      • Jerome Bracken
      Pages 183-206

    7. Pre-Arms Control Assessment of the Conventional Balance in Europe

      • John W. Gibson
      Pages 207-214

    8. On Strategic Stability in Europe without Nuclear Weapons

      • Reiner K. Huber
      Pages 215-238

    9. Defense Expenditure Dynamics Between Two Potential Opponents

      • H. Pastijn, W. Struys
      Pages 239-256

    10. Deterrence and Incomplete Information the Game Theory Approach

      • Werner Güth
      Pages 257-275

  5. Negotiations

    1. Front Matter

      Pages 277-277
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    2. Report of the Chairman: Negotiation Issues

      • J. D. Kettelle
      Pages 279-293
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Keywords

About this book

This book presents the results of an international workshop on Modelling and Analysis of Arms Control Problems held in Spitzingsee near Munich in October 1985 under the joint sponsorship of NATO's Scientific Affairs Division and the Volkswagen Foundation. The idea for this workshop evolved in 1983, as a consequence of discussions in the annual Systems Science Seminar at the Computer Science Department of the Federal Armed Forces University ~1unich on the topic of Quantitative Assessment in Arms Control 1) • There was wide agreement among the contribu­ tors to that seminar and its participants that those efforts to assess the potential contributions of systems and decision sciences, as well as systems analysis and"mathematical modelling, to arms control issues should be ex­ panded and a forum should be provided for this activity. It was further agreed that such a forum should include political scientists and policy analysts working in the area of arms control.

Editors and Affiliations

  • Federal Armed Forces University Munich, Neubiberg, Germany

    Rudolf Avenhaus, Reiner K. Huber

  • Ketron, Inc., Rosslyn Center, Arlington, USA

    John D. Kettelle

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