China’s Macroeconomic Outlook

Quarterly Forecast and Analysis Report, February 2013

  • Center for Macroeconomic Research of Xiamen University

Part of the Current Chinese Economic Report Series book series (CCERS)

Table of contents

  1. Front Matter
    Pages i-xii
  2. Center for Macroeconomic Research of Xiamen University
    Pages 1-8
  3. Center for Macroeconomic Research of Xiamen University
    Pages 9-18
  4. Center for Macroeconomic Research of Xiamen University
    Pages 19-27
  5. Center for Macroeconomic Research of Xiamen University
    Pages 29-34
  6. Center for Macroeconomic Research of Xiamen University
    Pages 35-41

About this book

Introduction

The research team makes the following forecasts: First, in 2013 China’s growth will remain stable and reach 8.23 percent, an increase of 0.43 percentage points compared with the previous year; even though there is inflation pressure resulting from global monetary easing, severe inflation in China is unlikely to happen, and the consumer price index (CPI) will remain at 3.11 percent. Second, the growth of imports and exports will rebound, but the trade surplus will decrease further. Finally, the share of investment in GDP will continue to be high in the short term as urbanization promotes the growth of fixed assets investment, though higher per capita incomes will result in high and steady consumption.

Keywords

China Quarterly Macroeconometric Model China’s Macroeconomic Outlook Fiscal Adjustments Macroeconomic Projection Policy Simulation

Authors and affiliations

  • Center for Macroeconomic Research of Xiamen University
    • 1
  1. 1.Xiamen UniversityXiamenPeople’s Republic, China

Bibliographic information

  • DOI https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-40044-5
  • Copyright Information Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2014
  • Publisher Name Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg
  • eBook Packages Business and Economics
  • Online ISBN 978-3-642-40044-5
  • Series Print ISSN 2194-7937
  • Series Online ISSN 2194-7945
  • About this book