Economic Cycles, Crises, and the Global Periphery

  • Leonid Grinin
  • Andrey Korotayev
  • Arno Tausch

Table of contents

  1. Front Matter
    Pages i-xviii
  2. Leonid Grinin, Andrey Korotayev, Arno Tausch
    Pages 23-54
  3. Leonid Grinin, Andrey Korotayev, Arno Tausch
    Pages 55-109
  4. Leonid Grinin, Andrey Korotayev, Arno Tausch
    Pages 143-160
  5. Leonid Grinin, Andrey Korotayev, Arno Tausch
    Pages 161-180
  6. Back Matter
    Pages 181-265

About this book

Introduction

This thought-provoking monograph analyzes long- medium- and short-term global cycles of prosperity, recession, and depression, plotting them against centuries of important world events. Major research on economic and political cycles is integrated to clarify evolving relationships between the global center and its periphery as well as current worldwide economic upheavals and potential future developments. Central to this survey are successive waves of industrial and, later, technological and cybernetic progress, leading to the current era of globalization and the changes of the roles of both Western powers and former minors players, however that will lead to the formation of the world order without a hegemon. Additionally, the authors predict what they term the Great Convergence, the lessening of inequities between the global core and the rest of the world, including the wealth gap between First and Third World nations.

Among the topics in this ambitious volume:                  

· Why politics is often omitted from economic analysis.

· Why economic cycles are crucial to understanding the modern geopolitical landscape.  

· How the aging of the developed world will affect world technological and economic future.

· The evolving technological forecast for Global North and South.            

· Where the U.S. is likely to stand on the future world stage. 

Economic Cycles, Crises, and the Global Periphery will inspire discussion and debate among sociologists, global economists, demographers,  global historians, and futurologists. This expert knowledge is necessary for further research, proactive response, and preparedness for a new age of sociopolitical change.                       

Keywords

Akamatsu cycles Juglar cycles Kondratieff cycles Kuznets cycles economic crises economic cycles economic depressions economic recovery global economic crisis global economy global financial trends global periphery global social transformation long economic cycles medium term cycles political economics world system perspective

Authors and affiliations

  • Leonid Grinin
    • 1
  • Andrey Korotayev
    • 2
  • Arno Tausch
    • 3
  1. 1.National Research University Higher School of EconomicsMoscowRussia
  2. 2.National Research University Higher School of EconomicsMoscowRussia
  3. 3.Corvinus UniversityBudapestHungary

Bibliographic information

  • DOI https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-41262-7
  • Copyright Information Springer International Publishing Switzerland 2016
  • Publisher Name Springer, Cham
  • eBook Packages Economics and Finance
  • Print ISBN 978-3-319-41260-3
  • Online ISBN 978-3-319-41262-7
  • About this book