Aviation System Risks and Safety

  • Kuklev E.A.
  • Shapkin V.S.
  • Filippov V.L.
  • Shatrakov Y.G.

Part of the Springer Aerospace Technology book series (SAT)

Table of contents

  1. Front Matter
    Pages i-xxiv
  2. Kuklev E.A., Shapkin V.S., Filippov V.L., Shatrakov Y.G.
    Pages 1-20
  3. Kuklev E.A., Shapkin V.S., Filippov V.L., Shatrakov Y.G.
    Pages 55-99
  4. Kuklev E.A., Shapkin V.S., Filippov V.L., Shatrakov Y.G.
    Pages 149-163
  5. Back Matter
    Pages 165-167

About this book


This book provides a solution to “rare event” problems without using the classical theory of reliability and theory of probability. This solution is based on the methodology of risk assessment as “measure of danger” (in keeping with the ICS RAS) and an expert approach to determining systems’ safety indications using Fuzzy Sets methods. Further, the book puts forward a new concept: “Reliability, Risks, and Safety” (RRS). 

The book’s main goal is to generalize present results and underscore the need to develop an alternative approach to safety level assessment and risk management for technical (aviation) systems in terms of Fuzzy Sets objects, in addition to traditional probabilistic safety analysis (PSA). The concept it proposes incorporates ICAO recommendations regarding proactive system control and the system’s responses to various internal and external disturbances. 


Risk calculation methodology Probabilistic safety analysis (PSA) Safety management systems (SMS) Theory of systemic safety (TSS) Fuzzy sets method ICAO recommendations Acceptable risk levels Aircraft exploitation safety estimation Failure mode effects and criticality analysis (FMECA) Aviation risk management Flight safety

Authors and affiliations

  • Kuklev E.A.
    • 1
  • Shapkin V.S.
    • 2
  • Filippov V.L.
    • 3
  • Shatrakov Y.G.
    • 4
  1. 1.Saint-PetersburgRussia
  2. 2.MoscowRussia
  3. 3.MoscowRussia
  4. 4.Saint-PetersburgRussia

Bibliographic information

  • DOI
  • Copyright Information Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd. 2019
  • Publisher Name Springer, Singapore
  • eBook Packages Engineering Engineering (R0)
  • Print ISBN 978-981-13-8121-8
  • Online ISBN 978-981-13-8122-5
  • Series Print ISSN 1869-1730
  • Series Online ISSN 1869-1749
  • Buy this book on publisher's site
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