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Social Security, Household, and Family Dynamics in Ageing Societies

  • Jean-Pierre Gonnot
  • Nico Keilman
  • Christopher Prinz

Part of the European Studies of Population book series (ESPO, volume 1)

Table of contents

  1. Front Matter
    Pages i-x
  2. Nico Keilman, Christopher Prinz
    Pages 1-20
  3. Nico Keilman, Christopher Prinz
    Pages 21-45
  4. Nico Keilman, Jean-Pierre Gonnot, Christopher Prinz
    Pages 209-232
  5. Back Matter
    Pages 233-238

About this book

Introduction

Many industrialized countries are facing large problems with their public pension systems in the 21st century. An unfavourable age distribution, with lower population shares in working ages and increasing shares and numbers of elderly persons in the future will lead, under current pension systems, to a drop in contributions and at the same time to sharply rising amounts of benefits paid.
This book analyzes the impact of dynamics in age structure and marital status composition on future public pension expenditures in twelve industrialized countries. It shows that there is no demographic response to population ageing at the horizon 2030. Neither an increase in fertility nor an inflow of migrants can rejuvenate national populations, unless fertility and/or migration reach unrealistically high levels. Therefore, the overall conclusion of this book is that demographic variables are of limited help to relieve the burden of future public pension expenditures. Substantial reductions of the public pension burden have to be sought in socioeconomic measures, and not in adjusting demographic conditions.
The book includes various demographic and pension scenarios for pension costs in the coming decades for Austria, Canada, the Czech and Slovak Republics, Finland, France, Germany, Hungary, Italy, the Netherlands, Norway, Poland, and Sweden. Not only old age pensions, but also disability and survivor pensions have been investigated. Variant projections were calculated for changes in demographic, labour force, and pension system variables. In addition, separate case studies for three countries deal with: a pension system in Austria in which benefits depend on the number children ever born; the impact of household dynamics on social security in the Netherlands, not just marriage and marriage dissolution; and with the consequences of economic growth for public pensions in Sweden.

Keywords

Ageing Demographic Change Demographic Changes economic growth fertility migrants migration population social security sweden

Authors and affiliations

  • Jean-Pierre Gonnot
    • 1
  • Nico Keilman
    • 2
  • Christopher Prinz
    • 3
  1. 1.Population and Development Section, Population Division, Room DC2-2044United NationsNew YorkUSA
  2. 2.Division for Demography and Living ConditionsStatistics NorwayOsloNorway
  3. 3.International Institute for Applied Systems AnalysisLaxenburgAustria

Bibliographic information

  • DOI https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-015-8441-8
  • Copyright Information Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 1995
  • Publisher Name Springer, Dordrecht
  • eBook Packages Springer Book Archive
  • Print ISBN 978-90-481-4530-0
  • Online ISBN 978-94-015-8441-8
  • Series Print ISSN 1381-3579
  • Buy this book on publisher's site