Causation, Chance and Credence

Proceedings of the Irvine Conference on Probability and Causation Volume 1

  • Brian Skyrms
  • William L. Harper

Part of the The University of Western Ontario Series in Philosophy of Science book series (WONS, volume 41)

Table of contents

  1. Front Matter
    Pages i-xii
  2. On the Nature of Probabilistic Causation

    1. Front Matter
      Pages 1-1
    2. C. W. J. Granger
      Pages 3-21
    3. I. J. Good
      Pages 23-50
    4. Wesley C. Salmon
      Pages 51-71
    5. I. J. Good
      Pages 73-78
    6. Nancy Cartwright
      Pages 79-97
    7. Nancy Cartwright
      Pages 105-108
    8. Ellery Eells
      Pages 109-133
    9. Patrick Suppes
      Pages 135-151
  3. Physical Probability, Degree of Belief, and De Finetti’s Theorem

    1. Front Matter
      Pages 153-153
    2. S. L. Zabell
      Pages 155-190
    3. Haim Gaifman
      Pages 191-219
    4. Richard Jeffrey
      Pages 221-255
  4. Back Matter
    Pages 279-286

About this book


The papers collected here are, with three exceptions, those presented at a conference on probability and causation held at the University of California at Irvine on July 15-19, 1985. The exceptions are that David Freedman and Abner Shimony were not able to contribute the papers that they presented to this volume, and that Clark Glymour who was not able to attend the conference did contribute a paper. We would like to thank the National Science Foundation and the School of Humanities of the University of California at Irvine for generous support. WILLIAM HARPER University of Western Ontario BRIAN SKYRMS University of California at Irvine VII INTRODUCTION TO CAUSATION, CHANCE, AND CREDENCE The search for causes is so central to science that it has sometimes been taken as the defining attribute of the scientific enterprise. Yet even after twenty-five centuries of philosophical analysis the meaning of "cause" is still a matter of controversy, among scientists as well as philosophers. Part of the problem is that the servicable concepts of causation built out of Necessity, Sufficiency, Locality, and Temporal Precedence were constructed for a deterministic world-view which has been obsolete since the advent of quantum theory. A physically credible theory of causation must be, at basis, statistical. And statistical analyses of caus­ ation may be of interest even when an underlying deterministic theory is assumed, as in classical statistical mechanics.


causality concept foundation nature probability science singular space space and time symmetry time

Editors and affiliations

  • Brian Skyrms
    • 1
  • William L. Harper
    • 2
  1. 1.Department of PhilosophyUniversity of CaliforniaIrvineUSA
  2. 2.Talbot CollegeThe University of Western OntarioCanada

Bibliographic information

  • DOI
  • Copyright Information Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 1988
  • Publisher Name Springer, Dordrecht
  • eBook Packages Springer Book Archive
  • Print ISBN 978-94-010-7788-0
  • Online ISBN 978-94-009-2863-3
  • Series Print ISSN 1566-659X
  • Buy this book on publisher's site