International Migration and the Future of Populations and Labour in Europe

  • Marek Kupiszewski

Part of the The Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis book series (PSDE, volume 32)

Table of contents

  1. Front Matter
    Pages i-xiii
  2. Marek Kupiszewski
    Pages 1-4
  3. International Migration: Policies, Theories, Trends and Assumptions

    1. Front Matter
      Pages 5-5
    2. Jakub Bijak, Marek Kupiszewski
      Pages 57-74
    3. Jakub Bijak, Anna Kicinger, Marek Kupiszewski
      Pages 75-92
  4. Past and Future of Fertility and Mortality in Europe

  5. Historical Development and Assumptions About Labour Force Participation in Europe

  6. Future of European Populations and the European Labour Force

    1. Front Matter
      Pages 191-191
    2. Dorota Kupiszewska, Marek Kupiszewski
      Pages 193-206
    3. Jakub Bijak, Dorota Kupiszewska, Marek Kupiszewski, Katarzyna Saczuk
      Pages 207-230
  7. Beyond of Replacement Migration: Results of Population and Labour Force Simulations

    1. Front Matter
      Pages 231-231
    2. Jakub Bijak, Dorota Kupiszewska, Marek Kupiszewski, Katarzyna Saczuk
      Pages 243-265
  8. Critical Assessment of the Results and Policy Impact

    1. Front Matter
      Pages 267-267
    2. Marek Góra
      Pages 293-299
  9. Back Matter
    Pages 309-350

About this book


The changes of populations are determined by fertility, mortality and migration. On the national level, international migration is a factor of increasing demographic, economic, social and political importance. This book addresses the debate on the impact of international migration and economic activity on population and labour force resources in future. It presents a study conducted for 27 European countries, looking 50 years ahead (2002-2052). An extended discussion of theories and factors underlying the assumed evolution of the components of change and economic activity is included as well as a detailed analysis of the historical trends. These theoretical and empirical considerations lead to defining scenarios of future mortality, fertility, economic activity and international migration, which have been fed into a projection model, producing various future population dynamics and labour force trajectories. In addition, simulations have been made to estimate the size of replacement migration needed to maintain selected demographic and labour market parameters in the countries of Europe.

The results presented in this book allow researchers, governments and policy makers to evaluate to what extent various migration and labour market policies may be instrumental in achieving the desired population and labour size and structures.

The secondary purpose of this volume is to reveal the methodology and argumentation lying behind a complex population forecasting and simulation exercise, which is not done frequently, but is critical for the assessment of the forecasts and also valuable from a purely didactic point of view.


2002-2052 Ageing Demographic and labour market parameters Economic activity on population and labour force resources Fertility Future population dynamics Impact of international migration International migration Labour force trajectories Migration and labour market policies Mortality Population and labour size structures Population decline Population forecasting Population forecasting and simulation exercise Projection model Replacement migration Size of replacement migration

Editors and affiliations

  • Marek Kupiszewski
    • 1
  1. 1.Population ResearchCentral European Forum for Migration &WarszawaPoland

Bibliographic information

Industry Sectors
Finance, Business & Banking