© 2003

Nonlinear Dynamics of the Lithosphere and Earthquake Prediction

  • Vladimir I. Keilis-Borok
  • Alexandre A. Soloviev


  • The research group of Professor Keilis-Borok is highly renowned worldwide because of their holistic approach to earthquake research.


Part of the Springer Series in Synergetics book series (SSSYN)

Table of contents

  1. Front Matter
    Pages I-XIII
  2. M. Shnirman, E. Blanter
    Pages 37-69
  3. A. Soloviev, A. Ismail-Zadeh
    Pages 71-139
  4. V. Kossobokov, P. Shebalin
    Pages 141-207
  5. A. Gorshkov, V. Kossobokov, A. Soloviev
    Pages 239-310
  6. Back Matter
    Pages 311-338

About this book


This book provides the reader with a holistic approach to earthquake modeling and prediction. The lithosphere is studied as a hierarchical nonlinear dissipative system in which the predictability of earthquakes, aftershock activities and the variation of seismic activity is analyzed. More specialized models taking into account regional aspects are investigated. The reader will learn to pose the problem of earthquake prediction using a successive step-by-step approach, narrowing down the time interval, territory and magnitude range where a strong earthquake can be expected. The book is written for researchers in geophysics and applied mathematics but may also serve as an advanced textbook for graduate students wishing to enter the field.


Earthquakes Natural Hazards aftershock earthquake earthquake prediction geophysics nonlinear dynamics seismic seismology

Editors and affiliations

  • Vladimir I. Keilis-Borok
    • 1
    • 2
  • Alexandre A. Soloviev
    • 2
  1. 1.Institute of Geophysics and Planetary Physics and Department of Earth and Space SciencesUniversity of California, Los AngelesLos AngelesUSA
  2. 2.Russian Academy of Sciences International Institute of Earthquake PredictionTheory and Mathematical GeophysicsMoscowRussia

Bibliographic information

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"This is an excellent book, [...] the first (to my knowledge) to deal with the Dynamics of the Lithosphere from the point of view of Dynamical Systems. [...] The book is well written and clearly organized. Every chapter is self-contained and addressed to graduate students and researchers in general." (Antoni M. Correig Blanchar, Newsletter of the European Geophysical Society, Oct. 15. 2003)