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Prediction of Interannual Climate Variations

  • J. Shukla

Part of the NATO ASI Series book series (volume 6)

Table of contents

  1. Front Matter
    Pages I-XV
  2. Reviews

  3. Coupled Models

    1. M. Davey, S. Lawrence, C. Gordon, S. Ineson
      Pages 107-123
    2. K. Miyakoda, A. Rosati, R. Gudgel
      Pages 125-151
  4. Low-Frequency Variability

  5. Present Status of Seasonal Forecasting

    1. P. A. Arkin
      Pages 183-195
    2. M. N. Ward, C. K. Folland, K. Maskell, A. W. Colman, D. P. Rowell, K. B. Lane
      Pages 197-216
  6. Predictability

    1. Antonio Speranza
      Pages 233-249
    2. J. Tribbia, D. Baumhefner
      Pages 251-264
  7. Back Matter
    Pages 265-265

About these proceedings

Introduction

It has been known for some time that the behavior of the short-term fluctuations of the earth's atmosphere resembles that of a chaotic non-linear dynamical system, and that the day-to-day weather cannot be predicted beyond a few weeks. However, it has also been found that the interactions of the atmosphere with the underlying oceans and the land surfaces can produce fluctuations whose time scales are much longer than the limits of deterministic prediction of weather. It is, therefore, natural to ask whether it is possible that the seasonal and longer time averages of climate fluctuations can be predicted with sufficient skill to be beneficial for social and economic applications, even though the details of the day-to-day weather cannot be predicted beyond a few weeks. The main objective of the workshop was to address this question by assessing the current state of knowledge on predictability of seasonal and interannual climate variability and to investigate various possibilities for its prediction.

Keywords

Atmospheric circulation Atmosphäre Klimavorhersage Rain Snow Weather Wetter atmosphere climate global climate jahreszeitliche Schwankung moisture ocean seasonal forecasting temperature

Editors and affiliations

  • J. Shukla
    • 1
  1. 1.Center for Ocean-Land-Atmosphere Interactions Department of MeteorologyUniversity of Maryland at College ParkCollege ParkUSA

Bibliographic information

  • DOI https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-76960-3
  • Copyright Information Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 1993
  • Publisher Name Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg
  • eBook Packages Springer Book Archive
  • Print ISBN 978-3-642-76962-7
  • Online ISBN 978-3-642-76960-3
  • Buy this book on publisher's site
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